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Markets bet on whether Xi Jinping will leave office this year

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Kalshi has reported 13,532 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Xi Jinping out this year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 8% chance for "Xi Jinping", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 8% probability.

If Xi Jinping leaves office before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 25,821 transactions since it was first opened on August 06, 2025. There are 19,544 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,920,969 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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