Kalshi has reported 8,658 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Trump try to fire Jerome Powell this year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 13% chance for "Yes", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 13% probability.
If the President of the United States has tried to fire the chair of the Federal Reserve before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 17,504 transactions since it was first opened on September 05, 2025. There are 15,563 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,350,119 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 104486)
- Will the government be shut down on October 01? (24h volume: 94050)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 72116)
- Will Ruben Gallego be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 57658)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.15? (24h volume: 56855)
- What will Jimmy Kimmel say during Jimmy Kimmel Live! on September 23-24? (24h volume: 44006)
- Will **real GDP** increase by more than 1.5% in Q3 2025? (24h volume: 38814)
- Which party will win Arizona's 7th Congressional District special election? (24h volume: 35815)
- Who will get second place in the Mayor? (24h volume: 35550)
- Will above 75000 jobs be added in September 2025? (24h volume: 32205)
