Kalshi has reported 24,360 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Trump next nominate Christopher Waller as Fed Chair?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 18% chance for "Christopher Waller", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 18% probability.
If Christopher Waller is the first person formally nominated by the President to Fed Chair before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 430,945 transactions since it was first opened on April 28, 2025. There are 264,555 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 5,391,921 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 275998)
- Will Ted Cruz be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 238434)
- Will Trump release any documents about Epstein's associates before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 183718)
- Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? (24h volume: 129859)
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 14 to 100 percentage points in New Jersey? (24h volume: 88391)
- Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 83951)
- Will government spending decrease by 1 before 2025? (24h volume: 78387)
- Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue? (24h volume: 72233)
- Nicolás Maduro out in November? (24h volume: 63927)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 46804)
