Kalshi has reported 6,451 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Trump make a new free trade agreement with any country before Jan 20, 2029?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 67% chance for "Before 2029", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 67% probability.
If a new free trade agreement with any country has become law before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 12,917 transactions since it was first opened on January 10, 2025. There are 8,917 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 42,602,809 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 106774)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20? (24h volume: 92436)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 37026)
- JD Vance out as Vice President of the United States before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 27129)
- Wil Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine? (24h volume: 20499)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in August 2025? (24h volume: 19950)
- Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 18998)
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 15921)
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 13691)
- Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.3% in August? (24h volume: 10058)
