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Markets bet on whether Trump will announce his new Chair of the Federal Reserve in 2026

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Kalshi has reported 43,776 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Trump announce his new Chair of the Federal Reserve in 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 85% chance for "Before Feb 1", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 85% probability.

If the President announces a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve before Feb 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 335,675 transactions since it was first opened on December 02, 2025. There are 188,108 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 7,854,136 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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