Kalshi has reported 19,375 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will win the governorship in California?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 23% chance for "Tom Steyer", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 21% probability.
If Tom Steyer is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 25,588 transactions since it was first opened on October 13, 2025. There are 18,037 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 5,607,381 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 650775)
- Will the Fed cut rates 2 times? (24h volume: 157558)
- Will Trump release any documents about Epstein's associates before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 120179)
- Will the S&P 500 be between 7000 and 7199.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2025? (24h volume: 85199)
- Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 76627)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 74371)
- Nicolás Maduro out in November? (24h volume: 67334)
- What will NVIDIA Corporation say during their next earnings call? (24h volume: 56873)
- Margin of victory for Zohran Mamdani in the Mayoral Election? (24h volume: 51902)
- Will government spending decrease by 1 before 2025? (24h volume: 36745)
