Kalshi has reported 9,671 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Tesla robotaxi released to public before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 37% chance for "Before 2026", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 29% probability.
If Tesla has released its robotaxi service to the public before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 799,693 transactions since it was first opened on April 12, 2024. There are 251,548 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 19,875,181 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 97278)
- Will a representative of the Republican party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 71078)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 20 days? (24h volume: 55468)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 49741)
- Who will win the next presidential election? (24h volume: 39351)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in Virginia (24h volume: 25883)
- Will Byron Donalds be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 23499)
- Will J.B. Pritzker be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 21106)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 21030)
- Will Curtis Sliwa drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 20717)
