Kalshi has reported 7,590 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Tesla robotaxi released to public before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 80% chance for "Before 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 80% probability.
If Tesla has released its robotaxi service to the public before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 716,625 transactions since it was first opened on April 12, 2024. There are 237,339 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 23,778,105 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 1503488)
- Filibuster weakened before 2026 (24h volume: 78684)
- Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 76621)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 26257)
- Will the Fed cut rates 2 times? (24h volume: 24482)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 23495)
- Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2025? (24h volume: 21834)
- Will **real GDP** increase by more than 3.0% in Q3 2025? (24h volume: 20311)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 20014)
- Who will President Trump pardon before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 17072)
