Kalshi has reported 30,006 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Tesla robotaxi released to public before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 86% chance for "Before 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 86% probability.
If Tesla has released its robotaxi service to the public before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 617,554 transactions since it was first opened on April 12, 2024. There are 237,709 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 21,060,850 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 1482050)
- Will Eric Adams drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 461200)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 306729)
- Will the Fed cut rates 0 times? (24h volume: 148734)
- Will Trump next nominate Stephen Miran as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 64475)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.190? (24h volume: 48748)
- Will Eric Adams endorse Andrew Cuomo in 2025 NYC Mayoral Race? (24h volume: 43257)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 36534)
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.9% for the year ending in August 2025? (24h volume: 31942)
- Tesla robotaxi released to public before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 30006)
