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Markets bet on whether SpaceX will launch another Starship by Aug 26, 2025

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Kalshi has reported 14,399 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Aug 26, 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 67% chance for "Before August 27", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 60% probability.

If SpaceX launches the Starship again before August 27, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 14,423 transactions since it was first opened on August 26, 2025. There are 8,434 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 7,674,738 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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