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Markets bet on whether SpaceX will launch another Starship by Aug 23, 2025

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Kalshi has reported 5,069 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Aug 23, 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 2% chance for "Before August 24", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 2% probability.

If SpaceX launches the Starship again by August 24, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 42,730 transactions since it was first opened on July 28, 2025. There are 24,619 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 341,167 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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