Kalshi has reported 5,401 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Republican win the Presidency in 2028?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 48% chance for "Republican", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 48% probability.
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 38,922 transactions since it was first opened on November 06, 2024. There are 11,117 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,584,606,439 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 1194506)
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 69740)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 54043)
- Will the Fed cut rates 0 times? (24h volume: 50306)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.15? (24h volume: 48656)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.3% in August 2025? (24h volume: 34010)
- Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 27126)
- Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.3% in August? (24h volume: 22907)
- Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin before 2026? (24h volume: 22724)
- Will Trump next nominate Marc Sumerlin as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 22416)
