Kalshi has reported 19,566 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Republican win the Presidency in 2028?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 48% chance for "Republican", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 48% probability.
If a representative of the Republican party is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 77,671 transactions since it was first opened on November 06, 2024. There are 25,794 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,535,144,692 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 260293)
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 135475)
- Will Tucker Carlson be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 83005)
- Will Curtis Sliwa drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 79343)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 38782)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 10 days? (24h volume: 29836)
- Who will IPO in 2025? (24h volume: 26931)
- Will Elissa Slotkin be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 24550)
- Will Democrats win VA Governor AND VA House of Delegates AND NJ Governor AND Mamdani wins NYC Mayor all win their elections? (24h volume: 22640)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 20808)
