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Markets bet on whether Republicans will win the House in 2026

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Kalshi has reported 7,621 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Republicans win the House in 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 28% chance for "Republican Party", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 28% probability.

If the Republican has won control of the House in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 872,291 transactions since it was first opened on November 06, 2024. There are 458,022 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 837,754,084 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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