Kalshi has reported 13,468 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will President Trump pardon before Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 4% chance for "Sam Bankman-Fried", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 4% probability.
If the President of the United States pardons Sam Bankman-Fried before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 351,726 transactions since it was first opened on May 09, 2025. There are 149,958 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 3,092,270 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 618812)
- Will Trump release any documents about Epstein's associates before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 113024)
- Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? (24h volume: 97904)
- Will the Department of Education be eliminated before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 56735)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 54272)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 47946)
- Will Trump meet with Justin Trudeau before 2025? (24h volume: 41129)
- Will the maximum SP500 value reach 6999.99 by Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 39619)
- Will Democratic win the House race for TN-7? (24h volume: 33751)
- Will be one of the three wealthiest people in the world? (24h volume: 30988)
