Kalshi has reported 5,075 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump Administration this year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 19% chance for "Pete Hegseth", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 19% probability.
If Pete Hegseth leaves, or it is announced they will leave, their office before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 461,186 transactions since it was first opened on February 26, 2025. There are 180,027 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 17,846,687 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 191998)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20? (24h volume: 168733)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 162197)
- Will the S&P 500 be above 7600 at the end of Dec 31, 2025? (24h volume: 35333)
- Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 34875)
- Will the Nasdaq-100 be above 30499.99 at the end of 2025? (24h volume: 33333)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.161? (24h volume: 16557)
- Will the Fed cut rates 4 times? (24h volume: 15689)
- Will Ron DeSantis be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 14826)
- Will the White House Press Secretary say Lisa Cook at her next press briefing? (24h volume: 13806)
