Kalshi has reported 36,125 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump Administration this year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 2% chance for "Pete Hegseth", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 2% probability.
If Pete Hegseth leaves, or it is announced they will leave, their office before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,613,883 transactions since it was first opened on February 26, 2025. There are 542,243 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 8,899,046 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Nicolás Maduro out this year? (24h volume: 434250)
- Will Trump next nominate Judy Shelton as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 292141)
- Will Trump meet with Justin Trudeau before 2025? (24h volume: 158441)
- Will the corporate tax be decreased before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 110908)
- Will Gina Raimondo be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? (24h volume: 60786)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $2.855? (24h volume: 57858)
- Will Nicolás Maduro leave office before 2026-02-01T15:00:00.000Z? (24h volume: 41124)
- Will Any Company acquire TikTok in 2025? (24h volume: 40115)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their January 2026 meeting? (24h volume: 39170)
- Who will IPO in 2025? (24h volume: 37654)
