Kalshi has reported 4,497 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Musk out as Tesla CEO before 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 6% chance for "Before 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 6% probability.
If Elon Musk is no longer CEO of Tesla by Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 230,281 transactions since it was first opened on May 15, 2024. There are 50,813 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,706,932 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 846026)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 160100)
- Will the Fed cut rates 0 times? (24h volume: 33364)
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 33256)
- Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 28677)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.15? (24h volume: 27981)
- Will CPI rise more than 0.2% in August 2025? (24h volume: 25228)
- Will there be a recession in 2025? (24h volume: 23096)
- Will the S&P 500 be above 6499.9999 on Aug 18, 2025 at 4pm EDT? (24h volume: 21449)
- Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 21404)
