Kalshi has reported 72,859 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will win the next presidential election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 7% chance for "Marco Rubio", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 7% probability.
If Marco Rubio is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 232,785 transactions since it was first opened on May 10, 2025. There are 199,214 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 787,628,449 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 38 days? (24h volume: 514363)
- Will Stephen A. Smith be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? (24h volume: 396450)
- Will Bruce Harrell win the election for the Mayor of Seattle in 2025? (24h volume: 259056)
- Will the federal government shut down for fewer than 92 days? (24h volume: 249840)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 193669)
- Will Zohran Mamdani receive between 50% and 59.99% of the popular vote in New York City? (24h volume: 156499)
- Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 143307)
- Will Marco Rubio be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 138823)
- What percent of the vote will Zohran Mamdani get in NYC Mayoral Election? (24h volume: 122976)
- Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump in V.O.S. Selections, Inc. v. Trump (24h volume: 122068)
