Kalshi has reported 27,499 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will win the governorship in California?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 17% chance for "Katie Porter", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 19% probability.
If Katie Porter is sworn in as the governor of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 34,939 transactions since it was first opened on May 16, 2025. There are 26,720 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 8,661,006 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 161496)
- What will CEOs of Discord, Reddit, Steam, and Twitch say during Testimony on the Radicalization of Online Forum Users at House Oversight and Government Reform Committee on October 8th? (24h volume: 151041)
- Will James Comey be arrested before Jan 2027? (24h volume: 102996)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 102435)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 98622)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 10 days? (24h volume: 94461)
- What will Donald Trump say during Roundtable on ANTIFA on October 8th? (24h volume: 37824)
- Will the Fed cut rates 2 times? (24h volume: 33739)
- Will the S&P 500 be between 6600 and 6799.99 at the end of Dec 31, 2025? (24h volume: 32121)
- Who will win the governorship in California? (24h volume: 27499)
