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Markets bet on whether JD Vance will leave as Vice President of the United States before Jan 2026

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Kalshi has reported 27,129 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “JD Vance out as Vice President of the United States before Jan 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 10% chance for "Before Jan 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 10% probability.

If JD Vance leaves or announces that they will leave Vice President of the United States before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 43,312 transactions since it was first opened on July 02, 2025. There are 33,392 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 4,384,207 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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