Kalshi has reported 3,592 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 26% chance for "Hunter Biden", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 26% probability.
If Hunter Biden announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 4,240 transactions since it was first opened on July 24, 2025. There are 3,690 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,324,459 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 429750)
- Will Mark Kelly be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 302462)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.15? (24h volume: 123117)
- Will a representative of the Andrew Cuomo party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 47490)
- Will the Fed cut rates 2 times? (24h volume: 31592)
- Who will win the next presidential election? (24h volume: 25000)
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.8% for the year ending in August 2025? (24h volume: 23432)
- What will Trump say during Meeting at the White House With South Korean President Lee Jae Myung? (24h volume: 17176)
- Will Elon Musk sue Apple before 2026? (24h volume: 16924)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 16408)
