Kalshi has reported 31,492 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 7% chance for "Gavin Newsom", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 43% probability.
If Gavin Newsom accepts the nomination for the Vice Presidency for the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 45,902 transactions since it was first opened on December 04, 2024. There are 37,194 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 195,986,074 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Nicolás Maduro out this year? (24h volume: 454396)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2026 meeting? (24h volume: 185786)
- Will Trump next nominate Judy Shelton as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 157199)
- Will Any Company acquire TikTok in 2025? (24h volume: 119757)
- Who will win the next presidential election? (24h volume: 112547)
- Will the U.S. impose tariffs on any sector from any country or countries in Nov 2025-Nov 2025? (24h volume: 69205)
- Will Nicolás Maduro leave office before 2026-02-01T15:00:00.000Z? (24h volume: 51619)
- Who will IPO in 2025? (24h volume: 47048)
- Will Donald Trump attend Zohran Mamdani's swearing-in ceremony? (24h volume: 38230)
- Who will be the next CEO of X? (24h volume: 36864)
