Kalshi has reported 39,920 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 33% chance for "Gavin Newsom", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 33% probability.
If Gavin Newsom wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,457,442 transactions since it was first opened on November 06, 2024. There are 879,890 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 390,812,588 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the government be shut down on October 01? (24h volume: 614560)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 238936)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.15? (24h volume: 158598)
- Government shutdown in 2025? (24h volume: 106205)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 87784)
- Will above 25000 jobs be added in September 2025? (24h volume: 57320)
- Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 2.8% for the year ending in September 2025? (24h volume: 43324)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 42137)
- What will Trump say during Press Conference meeting with Benjamin Netanyahu on September 29th? (24h volume: 42015)
- Will Gavin Newsom be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 39920)
