Kalshi has reported 25,178 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Elon Musk create a new political party this year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 6% chance for "In 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 6% probability.
If Elon Musk creates a new political party before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,420,630 transactions since it was first opened on June 06, 2025. There are 334,015 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 23,396,538 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 129460)
- Will the government be shut down on October 01? (24h volume: 122674)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 92045)
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 62118)
- Government shutdown in 2025? (24h volume: 51437)
- Will Eric Adams drop out of the 2025 New York City mayoral election before Oct 1, 2025? (24h volume: 49339)
- What will MrBeast say during Next MrBeast Youtube Video? (24h volume: 48607)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 37601)
- Powell leaves before 2026? (24h volume: 34358)
- Which party will win Arizona's 7th Congressional District special election? (24h volume: 26073)
