Kalshi has reported 11,795 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Elon Musk create a new political party this year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 3% chance for "In 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 3% probability.
If Elon Musk creates a new political party before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,583,136 transactions since it was first opened on June 06, 2025. There are 268,205 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 13,341,274 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 274621)
- Will Mark Kelly be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? (24h volume: 150244)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00? (24h volume: 83879)
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump Administration this year? (24h volume: 69532)
- Will Democratic win the House race for TN-7? (24h volume: 69301)
- Nicolás Maduro out in November? (24h volume: 59677)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 56279)
- Who will win the next presidential election? (24h volume: 51338)
- Will the Fed cut rates 3 times? (24h volume: 47988)
- Will legislation extending enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 40317)
