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Markets bet on whether Donald Trump will leave office before 2027

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Kalshi has reported 10,514 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Donald Trump out before 2027?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 28% chance for "Donald Trump", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 27% probability.

If Donald Trump leaves office before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 123,739 transactions since it was first opened on November 08, 2025. There are 94,158 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 72,551,261 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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