Kalshi has reported 15,677 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Donald Trump out this year?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 7% chance for "Donald Trump", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 7% probability.
If Donald Trump leaves office before Jan 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,105,558 transactions since it was first opened on August 30, 2025. There are 661,627 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 205,245,520 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 822272)
- Filibuster weakened before 2026 (24h volume: 57446)
- Will a representative of the Republican party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 43382)
- Will the Fed cut rates 2 times? (24h volume: 21440)
- Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 20626)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 15677)
- Will there be a recession in 2025? (24h volume: 15112)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 13445)
- Will there be a recall election for Gavin Newsom before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 10815)
- Will the Democratic party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 10520)
