Kalshi has reported 12,212 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Democrats win VA Governor AND VA House of Delegates AND NJ Governor AND Mamdani wins NYC Mayor all win their elections?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 73% chance for "Yes", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 73% probability.
If Democrats win the Virginia Governor, Virginia House of Delegates, and New Jersey Governor elections, and Mamdani wins the New York City Mayor election, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 310,088 transactions since it was first opened on September 17, 2025. There are 228,128 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 16,861,056 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 113919)
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 93883)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 15 days? (24h volume: 87514)
- Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 46790)
- Who will win the next presidential election? (24h volume: 46759)
- Will Ruben Gallego be the nominee for the Presidency for the Democratic party? (24h volume: 31041)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in Virginia (24h volume: 25172)
- Xi Jinping out this year? (24h volume: 23259)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 22898)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.05? (24h volume: 19594)
