Kalshi has reported 6,137 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Democratic win the Presidency in 2028?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 53% chance for "Democratic", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 53% probability.
If a representative of the Democratic party is inaugurated as President for the term beginning January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 29,015 transactions since it was first opened on November 06, 2024. There are 19,531 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,723,248,256 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 933405)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 423062)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 94969)
- Will Trump release any documents about Epstein's associates before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 68131)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10? (24h volume: 42419)
- Will above 50000 jobs be added in August 2025? (24h volume: 38758)
- Will Eric Adams drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 36807)
- Will the Fed cut rates 0 times? (24h volume: 33366)
- Will there be a recession in 2025? (24h volume: 32928)
- Will the Nasdaq-100 be between 24500 and 24999.99 at the end of 2025? (24h volume: 30613)
