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Markets bet on whether Conor McGregor will win the 2025 Ecuadorian presidential election

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Kalshi has reported 7,207 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Conor McGregor win the 2025 Ecuadorian presidential election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 6% chance for "Conor McGregor", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 6% probability.

If Conor McGregor wins the 2025 Irish presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 55,673 transactions since it was first opened on December 21, 2024. There are 39,142 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 34,724,921 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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