Kalshi has reported 6,347 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will China overtake US GDP by 2030?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 32% chance for "By 2030", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 32% probability.
If China has overtaken US GDP by 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 23,643 transactions since it was first opened on April 30, 2024. There are 12,376 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 68,247,434 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 5684609)
- Filibuster weakened before 2026 (24h volume: 155376)
- Will a representative of the Eric Adams party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 114721)
- Will Any Company acquire TikTok in 2025? (24h volume: 83378)
- Lisa DeNell Cook out as Federal Reserve Governor before Jan 2026? (24h volume: 60857)
- Will the Fed cut rates 1 times? (24h volume: 46519)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.15? (24h volume: 45238)
- Will Eric Adams drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 33781)
- Will there be a recession in 2025? (24h volume: 31406)
- Government shutdown in 2025? (24h volume: 29457)
