Kalshi has reported 14,051 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Who will win the next presidential election?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 7% chance for "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 7% probability.
If Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez is the next person inaugurated as President for the term beginning in 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 247,108 transactions since it was first opened on May 10, 2025. There are 207,487 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 1,624,610,027 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their December 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 150522)
- Will gold outperform Bitcoin in 2025? (24h volume: 73885)
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 14 to 100 percentage points in New Jersey? (24h volume: 64700)
- Will Jon Ossoff be the Democratic Presidential nominee in 2028? (24h volume: 57088)
- Nicolás Maduro out this year? (24h volume: 49461)
- Nicolás Maduro out in November? (24h volume: 46588)
- Will Marjorie Taylor Greene be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party? (24h volume: 30198)
- Will the S&P 500 be above 5881.63 on Dec 31, 2025 at 4pm EST? (24h volume: 25910)
- Will the USD/JPY open price be between 158.250 and 158.499 at Nov 24, 2025 at 10am EST? (24h volume: 24112)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00? (24h volume: 22045)
