Kalshi has reported 13,546 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will Pete Hegseth be the first person to leave the Trump Cabinet?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 33% chance for "Pete Hegseth", which is up from yesterday, when the market implied a 32% probability.
If Pete Hegseth is the first member of the Cabinet of Donald Trump to leave or announce they will leave (such as by quitting, being fired, or being impeached), then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 705,053 transactions since it was first opened on January 11, 2025. There are 172,635 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 7,402,847 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Who will be elected President of Honduras in 2025? (24h volume: 443762)
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 215611)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 124495)
- Will Trump next nominate Kevin Hassett as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 114449)
- Nicolás Maduro out this year? (24h volume: 84716)
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 14 to 100 percentage points in New Jersey? (24h volume: 61650)
- Will Trump announce his new Chair of the Federal Reserve in 2025? (24h volume: 58523)
- Will legislation extending enhanced ACA premium tax credits becomes law before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 56890)
- Will Democratic win the House race for TN-7? (24h volume: 51565)
- Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 47878)
