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Fed Holds Rates at 3.5%-3.75% in Rare 8-4 Split

Quiver Data Analyst

Federal Reserve officials held interest rates steady at 3.5% to 3.75% in an unusually divided 8-4 vote, highlighting growing disagreement over policy direction as geopolitical tensions and rising energy prices complicate the economic outlook.

  • The 8-4 split marks the first time since 1992 that four officials dissented on a rate decision.
  • Three regional Fed presidents supported holding rates but opposed language suggesting future rate cuts.
  • Governor Stephen Miran dissented in favor of a 25 basis point rate cut.
  • The Fed cited Middle East developments as a key source of elevated uncertainty in its policy statement.
  • Inflation remains above the Fed’s 2% target, partly driven by higher global energy prices.
  • Labor market conditions show low job growth with a stable unemployment rate.
  • Markets reacted negatively, with equities and Treasuries declining following the announcement.
  • Jerome Powell’s term as chair is nearing its end, with Kevin Warsh advancing toward confirmation as his successor.

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Editor’s Note: This is a developing story. This article may be updated as more details become available.

About the Author

Matthew Kerr is a data analyst at Quiver Quantitative, with a focus on single-stock research and government datasets. Prior to joining Quiver, Matthew was an analyst intern at BlackRock.

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