Performance Surge: Social media chatter underscores Caterpillar's robust gains, surging over 100% in the past year as investors rotate into industrials from volatile tech names. The stock's long-term strength, turning modest investments into substantial returns, draws admiration amid persistent economic headwinds. Yet, this momentum has sparked debates on sustainability.
Valuation Concerns: Prominent threads highlight the shares trading at around 40 times earnings, far exceeding historical norms and prompting warnings of a bubble in cyclicals. Observers note stretched multiples akin to growth stocks despite flat earnings prospects. Many question buying at current levels, with analyst targets lagging the price.
AI Exposure Debate: Excitement builds around Caterpillar's role in powering AI data centers, with energy sales jumping amid hyperscaler demand. Critics counter that this segment remains a small slice of revenue, overshadowed by construction and mining cycles plus tariff risks. The split opinions reflect broader caution on the rally's foundation.
Note: This discussion summary was generated from an AI condensation of post data.
Caterpillar Insider Trading Activity
Caterpillar insiders have traded $CAT stock on the open market 54 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 1 have been purchases and 53 have been sales.
Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $CAT stock by insiders over the last 6 months:
- LANGE BOB DE (Group President) has made 0 purchases and 7 sales selling 81,848 shares for an estimated $56,381,449.
- DENISE C JOHNSON (Group President) has made 0 purchases and 8 sales selling 39,138 shares for an estimated $26,655,960.
- ANTHONY D. FASSINO (Group President) has made 0 purchases and 4 sales selling 32,779 shares for an estimated $22,414,683.
- III DONALD J UMPLEBY (Executive Chairman) has made 0 purchases and 2 sales selling 34,332 shares for an estimated $16,615,658.
- ANDREW R J BONFIELD (Chief Financial Officer) has made 0 purchases and 14 sales selling 20,000 shares for an estimated $11,465,037.
- JASON KAISER (Group President) has made 0 purchases and 14 sales selling 12,397 shares for an estimated $7,347,113.
- RODNEY MICHAEL SHURMAN (Group President) has made 0 purchases and 2 sales selling 4,042 shares for an estimated $3,077,011.
- WILLIAM E SCHAUPP (Chief Accounting Officer) has made 0 purchases and 2 sales selling 2,172 shares for an estimated $1,429,466.
- DAVID MACLENNAN purchased 300 shares for an estimated $170,658
To track insider transactions, check out Quiver Quantitative's insider trading dashboard.
Caterpillar Revenue
Caterpillar had revenues of $19.1B in Q4 2025. This is an increase of 18.0% from the same period in the prior year.
You can track CAT financials on Quiver Quantitative's CAT stock page.
Caterpillar Congressional Stock Trading
Members of Congress have traded $CAT stock 4 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 4 have been purchases and 0 have been sales.
Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $CAT stock by members of Congress over the last 6 months:
- SENATOR JOHN BOOZMAN purchased up to $15,000 on 01/29.
- SENATOR MARKWAYNE MULLIN purchased up to $50,000 on 12/29.
- REPRESENTATIVE GILBERT RAY CISNEROS, JR. has traded it 2 times. They made 2 purchases worth up to $30,000 on 11/18, 10/17 and 0 sales.
To track congressional stock trading, check out Quiver Quantitative's congressional trading dashboard.
Caterpillar Hedge Fund Activity
We have seen 1,540 institutional investors add shares of Caterpillar stock to their portfolio, and 1,493 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.
Here are some of the largest recent moves:
- UBS AM, A DISTINCT BUSINESS UNIT OF UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC removed 12,772,236 shares (-78.3%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $7,316,830,837
- NORGES BANK removed 5,579,193 shares (-100.0%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $3,196,152,293
- CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTORS added 2,138,909 shares (+inf%) to their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $1,225,316,798
- BLACKROCK, INC. added 1,924,397 shares (+5.6%) to their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $1,102,429,309
- CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTORS removed 1,450,160 shares (-33.8%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $830,753,159
- WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP removed 1,368,156 shares (-26.2%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $783,775,527
- NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL WEALTH MANAGEMENT CO added 1,281,087 shares (+573.1%) to their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $733,896,309
To track hedge funds' stock portfolios, check out Quiver Quantitative's institutional holdings dashboard.
Caterpillar Government Contracts
We have seen $297,112,740 of award payments to $CAT over the last year.
Here are some of the awards which we have have seen pay out the most over the last year:
- 8511390294!D9R TRACTOR DOZER: $87,034,944
- 8511336920!TRACTOR DOZER: $83,357,120
- 8511272435!EXCAVATOR: $8,288,786
- 8511260946!EXCAVATOR: $5,954,622
- CAT EARTHMOVING SLEP: $4,477,655
To track government contracts to publicy traded companies, check out Quiver Quantitative's government contracts dashboard.
Caterpillar Analyst Ratings
Wall Street analysts have issued reports on $CAT in the last several months. We have seen 6 firms issue buy ratings on the stock, and 1 firms issue sell ratings.
Here are some recent analyst ratings:
- JP Morgan issued a "Overweight" rating on 01/30/2026
- Wells Fargo issued a "Overweight" rating on 01/30/2026
- Jefferies issued a "Buy" rating on 01/30/2026
- Citigroup issued a "Buy" rating on 01/13/2026
- Truist Securities issued a "Buy" rating on 10/30/2025
- Morgan Stanley issued a "Underweight" rating on 10/30/2025
- B of A Securities issued a "Buy" rating on 10/15/2025
To track analyst ratings and price targets for Caterpillar, check out Quiver Quantitative's $CAT forecast page.
Caterpillar Price Targets
Multiple analysts have issued price targets for $CAT recently. We have seen 16 analysts offer price targets for $CAT in the last 6 months, with a median target of $694.5.
Here are some recent targets:
- Jerry Revich from Wells Fargo set a target price of $870.0 on 02/25/2026
- David Raso from Evercore ISI Group set a target price of $878.0 on 02/23/2026
- Michael Feniger from B of A Securities set a target price of $825.0 on 02/10/2026
- Angel Castillo from Morgan Stanley set a target price of $425.0 on 02/03/2026
- Jamie Cook from Truist Securities set a target price of $786.0 on 02/02/2026
- Kyle Menges from Citigroup set a target price of $760.0 on 02/02/2026
- Michael Shlisky from DA Davidson set a target price of $650.0 on 02/02/2026
This article is not financial advice. See Quiver Quantitative's disclaimers for more information. Note that there may be inaccuracies due to mistakes in ticker-mapping, and other anomalies.
