Options Surge Amid Bullish Targets: Social media traders are buzzing over heavy options flow in Caterpillar shares, with calls for a swift push to $850 and affordable swings highlighting recent momentum. Year-to-date gains exceeding 25% have fueled optimism, though some are trimming positions amid gap-up caution.
AI Infrastructure Tailwinds: Discussion positions Caterpillar as an overlooked AI play, driven by surging demand for generators in data centers and a stacked backlog. Shares holding above key moving averages signal room for upside toward 52-week highs, despite valuation debates.
Earnings Anticipation Builds: Upcoming Q1 results around late April are in focus after a strong Q4 beat, with record revenues but margin pressures noted. Sentiment leans toward buying dips on infrastructure strength, tempered by broader industrials concerns.
Note: This discussion summary was generated from an AI condensation of post data.
Caterpillar Inc. Insider Trading Activity
Caterpillar Inc. insiders have traded $CAT stock on the open market 58 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 1 have been purchases and 57 have been sales.
Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $CAT stock by insiders over the last 6 months:
- LANGE BOB DE (Group President) has made 0 purchases and 7 sales selling 81,848 shares for an estimated $56,381,449.
- DENISE C JOHNSON (Group President) has made 0 purchases and 8 sales selling 39,138 shares for an estimated $26,655,960.
- ANTHONY D. FASSINO (Group President) has made 0 purchases and 4 sales selling 32,779 shares for an estimated $22,414,683.
- ANDREW R J BONFIELD (Chief Financial Officer) has made 0 purchases and 14 sales selling 20,000 shares for an estimated $11,465,037.
- III DONALD J UMPLEBY (Executive Chairman) sold 17,166 shares for an estimated $8,673,808
- JASON KAISER (Group President) has made 0 purchases and 14 sales selling 12,397 shares for an estimated $7,347,113.
- RODNEY MICHAEL SHURMAN (Group President) has made 0 purchases and 2 sales selling 4,042 shares for an estimated $3,077,011.
- JOSEPH E CREED (Chief Executive Officer) has made 0 purchases and 5 sales selling 2,500 shares for an estimated $1,797,316.
- WILLIAM E SCHAUPP (Chief Accounting Officer) has made 0 purchases and 2 sales selling 2,172 shares for an estimated $1,429,466.
- DAVID MACLENNAN purchased 300 shares for an estimated $170,658
To track insider transactions, check out Quiver Quantitative's insider trading dashboard.
Caterpillar Inc. Revenue
Caterpillar Inc. had revenues of $19.1B in Q4 2025. This is an increase of 18.0% from the same period in the prior year.
You can track CAT financials on Quiver Quantitative's CAT stock page.
Caterpillar Inc. Congressional Stock Trading
Members of Congress have traded $CAT stock 4 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 4 have been purchases and 0 have been sales.
Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $CAT stock by members of Congress over the last 6 months:
- SENATOR JOHN BOOZMAN purchased up to $15,000 on 01/29.
- SENATOR MARKWAYNE MULLIN purchased up to $50,000 on 12/29.
- REPRESENTATIVE GILBERT RAY CISNEROS, JR. has traded it 2 times. They made 2 purchases worth up to $30,000 on 11/18, 10/17 and 0 sales.
To track congressional stock trading, check out Quiver Quantitative's congressional trading dashboard.
Caterpillar Inc. Hedge Fund Activity
We have seen 1,506 institutional investors add shares of Caterpillar Inc. stock to their portfolio, and 1,391 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.
Here are some of the largest recent moves:
- UBS AM, A DISTINCT BUSINESS UNIT OF UBS ASSET MANAGEMENT AMERICAS LLC removed 12,772,236 shares (-78.3%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $7,316,830,837
- NORGES BANK removed 5,579,193 shares (-100.0%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $3,196,152,293
- CAPITAL INTERNATIONAL INVESTORS added 2,138,909 shares (+inf%) to their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $1,225,316,798
- BLACKROCK, INC. added 1,924,397 shares (+5.6%) to their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $1,102,429,309
- CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTORS removed 1,450,160 shares (-33.8%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $830,753,159
- WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP removed 1,368,156 shares (-26.2%) from their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $783,775,527
- NORTHWESTERN MUTUAL WEALTH MANAGEMENT CO added 1,281,087 shares (+573.1%) to their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $733,896,309
To track hedge funds' stock portfolios, check out Quiver Quantitative's institutional holdings dashboard.
Caterpillar Inc. Government Contracts
We have seen $276,944,174 of award payments to $CAT over the last year.
Here are some of the awards which we have have seen pay out the most over the last year:
- 8511390294!D9R TRACTOR DOZER: $87,034,944
- 8511336920!TRACTOR DOZER: $83,357,120
- CAT EARTHMOVING SLEP: $6,815,813
- 8511039903!WHEEL LOADER: $3,175,643
- STANDARD CONTRACT WITH BASE AND OPTION QUANTITIES FOR UP TO 110 DIESEL ENGINES (NSN 2815-01-568-0408) FOR E...: $2,909,775
To track government contracts to publicy traded companies, check out Quiver Quantitative's government contracts dashboard.
Caterpillar Inc. Analyst Ratings
Wall Street analysts have issued reports on $CAT in the last several months. We have seen 6 firms issue buy ratings on the stock, and 1 firms issue sell ratings.
Here are some recent analyst ratings:
- Wells Fargo issued a "Overweight" rating on 01/30/2026
- Jefferies issued a "Buy" rating on 01/30/2026
- JP Morgan issued a "Overweight" rating on 01/30/2026
- Citigroup issued a "Buy" rating on 01/13/2026
- Morgan Stanley issued a "Underweight" rating on 10/30/2025
- Truist Securities issued a "Buy" rating on 10/30/2025
- B of A Securities issued a "Buy" rating on 10/15/2025
To track analyst ratings and price targets for Caterpillar Inc., check out Quiver Quantitative's $CAT forecast page.
Caterpillar Inc. Price Targets
Multiple analysts have issued price targets for $CAT recently. We have seen 15 analysts offer price targets for $CAT in the last 6 months, with a median target of $765.0.
Here are some recent targets:
- Adam Seiden from Barclays set a target price of $700.0 on 04/01/2026
- Kyle Menges from Citigroup set a target price of $785.0 on 03/09/2026
- Kristen Owen from Oppenheimer set a target price of $817.0 on 03/06/2026
- Jerry Revich from Wells Fargo set a target price of $870.0 on 02/25/2026
- David Raso from Evercore ISI Group set a target price of $878.0 on 02/23/2026
- Michael Feniger from B of A Securities set a target price of $825.0 on 02/10/2026
- Angel Castillo from Morgan Stanley set a target price of $425.0 on 02/03/2026
This article is not financial advice. See Quiver Quantitative's disclaimers for more information. Note that there may be inaccuracies due to mistakes in ticker-mapping, and other anomalies.
