Capital One rises as Fed stress-test results lift confidence in big banks

Capital One Financial (COF) is up 3.6% today. Here is some analysis on what might have caused this price movement. ([apnews.com](https://apnews.com/article/dbb5f33becf7240fbb9a85fa2befd8f3?utm_source=openai))

Analysis: The most likely driver is a sector-wide boost after the Federal Reserve said all 32 large U.S. banks in its 2026 stress test remained above minimum capital requirements under a severe downturn scenario. For Capital One, that result likely reinforced confidence in its capital position and increased optimism that banks will have room to keep returning capital to shareholders. ([apnews.com](https://apnews.com/article/dbb5f33becf7240fbb9a85fa2befd8f3?utm_source=openai))

Details:

The Federal Reserve’s 2026 stress test found large banks could absorb heavy hypothetical losses and still stay above required capital levels, which supported sentiment across bank stocks. ([apnews.com](https://apnews.com/article/dbb5f33becf7240fbb9a85fa2befd8f3?utm_source=openai))

Investors often treat a successful stress-test cycle as a positive signal for dividends and buybacks, because weak results can constrain capital returns. ([apnews.com](https://apnews.com/article/dbb5f33becf7240fbb9a85fa2befd8f3?utm_source=openai))

Capital One had already disclosed that its supervisory stress-test results were expected by the end of June 2026, keeping attention on capital and regulatory outcomes this week. ([investor.capitalone.com](https://investor.capitalone.com/static-files/ba856655-52e1-45fd-a921-adae843b2c3a?utm_source=openai))

The company also entered this period after reporting first-quarter 2026 net income of $2.2 billion and total assets of $682.9 billion, giving investors a recent fundamental backdrop for the move. ([investor.capitalone.com](https://investor.capitalone.com/news-releases/news-release-details/capital-one-reports-first-quarter-2026-net-income-22-billion-or?utm_source=openai))

Sources:

AP ([apnews.com](https://apnews.com/article/dbb5f33becf7240fbb9a85fa2befd8f3?utm_source=openai)), Federal Reserve ([federalreserve.gov](https://www.federalreserve.gov/publications/2026-stress-test-scenarios.htm?utm_source=openai)), Capital One Financial Corp. ([investor.capitalone.com](https://investor.capitalone.com/news-releases/news-release-details/capital-one-reports-first-quarter-2026-net-income-22-billion-or?utm_source=openai))

Disclaimer: This price movement analysis was generated with the help of AI. Please double-check the information provided for mistakes.

$COF Insider Trading Activity

$COF insiders have traded $COF stock on the open market 25 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 0 have been purchases and 25 have been sales.

Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $COF stock by insiders over the last 6 months:

NEAL BLINDE (President, Commercial Banking) has made 0 purchases and 8 sales selling 38,135 shares for an estimated $7,265,238.
RAVI RAGHU (Pres, Software, Intl & Sm Bus) sold 13,450 shares for an estimated $3,362,500
LIA DEAN (Pres, Banking & Prem. Products) has made 0 purchases and 3 sales selling 8,139 shares for an estimated $1,821,496.
MATTHEW W COOPER (General Counsel & Corp Secy) has made 0 purchases and 3 sales selling 9,000 shares for an estimated $1,785,515.
CELIA KARAM (Pres, Retail Bank) has made 0 purchases and 4 sales selling 7,020 shares for an estimated $1,505,217.
JASON P. HANSON (Pres.- Global Payment Network) sold 3,729 shares for an estimated $764,445
MARK DANIEL MOUADEB (President, Card) has made 0 purchases and 3 sales selling 3,102 shares for an estimated $640,285.
KAITLIN HAGGERTY (Chief Human Resources Officer) has made 0 purchases and 2 sales selling 1,426 shares for an estimated $262,124.

To track insider transactions, check out Quiver Quantitative's insider trading dashboard. You can access data on insider stock transactions through the Quiver Quantitative API insider transaction endpoint.

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$COF Hedge Fund Activity

We have seen 973 institutional investors add shares of $COF stock to their portfolio, and 1,151 decrease their positions in their most recent quarter.

Here are some of the largest recent moves:

CAPITAL WORLD INVESTORS removed 6,614,887 shares (-26.7%) from their portfolio in Q1 2026, for an estimated $1,206,753,835
FMR LLC removed 6,189,861 shares (-33.0%) from their portfolio in Q1 2026, for an estimated $1,129,216,342
CAPITAL RESEARCH GLOBAL INVESTORS removed 5,887,545 shares (-100.0%) from their portfolio in Q1 2026, for an estimated $1,074,064,834
WELLINGTON MANAGEMENT GROUP LLP added 4,262,975 shares (+445.2%) to their portfolio in Q1 2026, for an estimated $777,694,529
EGERTON CAPITAL (UK) LLP removed 2,069,130 shares (-100.0%) from their portfolio in Q1 2026, for an estimated $377,471,385
D. E. SHAW & CO., INC. added 1,586,217 shares (+185.1%) to their portfolio in Q4 2025, for an estimated $384,435,552
BARCLAYS PLC added 1,535,629 shares (+95.7%) to their portfolio in Q1 2026, for an estimated $280,144,798

To track hedge funds' stock portfolios, check out Quiver Quantitative's institutional holdings dashboard. You can access data on hedge funds moves and 13F filings through the Quiver Quantitative API 13F endpoint.

$COF Congressional Stock Trading

Members of Congress have traded $COF stock 3 times in the past 6 months. Of those trades, 2 have been purchases and 1 have been sales.

Here’s a breakdown of recent trading of $COF stock by members of Congress over the last 6 months:

REPRESENTATIVE GILBERT RAY CISNEROS, JR. has traded it 2 times. They made 1 purchase worth up to $15,000 on 01/09 and 1 sale worth up to $15,000 on 02/10.
SENATOR MARKWAYNE MULLIN purchased up to $100,000 on 12/29.

To track congressional stock trading, check out Quiver Quantitative's congressional trading dashboard. You can access data on congressional stock trades through the Quiver Quantitative API Congress trades endpoint.

$COF Analyst Ratings

Wall Street analysts have issued reports on $COF in the last several months. We have seen 5 firms issue buy ratings on the stock, and 0 firms issue sell ratings.

Here are some recent analyst ratings:

BTIG issued a "Buy" rating on 01/23/2026
Morgan Stanley issued a "Overweight" rating on 01/20/2026
TD Cowen issued a "Buy" rating on 01/08/2026
Barclays issued a "Overweight" rating on 01/06/2026
Citigroup issued a "Buy" rating on 12/31/2025

To track analyst ratings and price targets for $COF, check out Quiver Quantitative's $COF forecast page.

$COF Price Targets

Multiple analysts have issued price targets for $COF recently. We have seen 11 analysts offer price targets for $COF in the last 6 months, with a median target of $260.0.

Here are some recent targets:

Brian Foran from Truist Securities set a target price of $255.0 on 04/23/2026
Vincent Caintic from BTIG set a target price of $224.0 on 04/22/2026
Terry Ma from Barclays set a target price of $250.0 on 04/22/2026
Jeffrey Adelson from Morgan Stanley set a target price of $273.0 on 04/16/2026
Donald Fandetti from Wells Fargo set a target price of $260.0 on 04/09/2026
Richard Shane from JP Morgan set a target price of $213.0 on 04/09/2026
Ryan Nash from Goldman Sachs set a target price of $260.0 on 04/07/2026

This article is not financial advice. See Quiver Quantitative's disclaimers for more information. Note that there may be inaccuracies due to mistakes in ticker-mapping, and other anomalies.