Skip to Main Content
Legislation Search

H.R. 8148: Prediction Market Restrictions on Insider Speculation and Knowledge-Trading Act

This bill, named the Prediction Market Restrictions on Insider Speculation and Knowledge-Trading Act, aims to clarify and reinforce the authority of the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) to oversee and enforce regulations on prediction market contracts. Here are the key components of the legislation:

Short Title

The bill can be cited as the Prediction Market RISK Act.

Definition of Prediction Market Contract

The bill defines a "prediction market contract" as any financial instrument or contract that is offered by a platform involved in interstate commerce. This contract is tied to the likelihood of a future event occurring or not occurring. It includes what are known as market-based event contracts.

CFTC Authority Over Prediction Market Contracts

The bill specifies that the CFTC has the authority to enforce rules against illegal trading practices associated with prediction market contracts. This enforcement capability includes applying relevant sections of the Commodity Exchange Act, which governs trading practices in commodities and futures markets, to prediction markets as well.

Implications for Trading Practices

With this bill, the CFTC can regulate and take action against prohibited activities related to prediction market contracts, reinforcing its role in ensuring fair trading practices in these types of markets.

Objectives

The primary goals of the bill are to:

  • Prevent insider trading and knowledge-based speculation in prediction markets.
  • Ensure that prediction markets operate fairly and without manipulation.
  • Enhance oversight and enforcement by the CFTC in relation to these markets.

Potential Impact on Markets

By affirming the CFTC's authority, this legislation may affect how prediction markets operate and how trades are conducted regarding future events, potentially influencing the participants' behaviors and the platforms that host these markets.

Relevant Companies

None found

This is an AI-generated summary of the bill text. There may be mistakes.

Show More

Sponsors

1 sponsor

Actions

2 actions

Date Action
Mar. 27, 2026 Introduced in House
Mar. 27, 2026 Referred to the House Committee on Agriculture.

Corporate Lobbying

0 companies lobbying

None found.

* Note that there can be significant delays in lobbying disclosures, and our data may be incomplete.

Potentially Relevant Congressional Stock Trades

No relevant congressional stock trades found.