Risk Factors Dashboard
Once a year, publicly traded companies issue a comprehensive report of their business, called a 10-K. A component mandated in the 10-K is the ‘Risk Factors’ section, where companies disclose any major potential risks that they may face. This dashboard highlights all major changes and additions in new 10K reports, allowing investors to quickly identify new potential risks and opportunities.
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Item 1A. Risk Factors
You should consider carefully the following information about the risks described below, together with the other information contained in this Annual Report on Form 10-K and in our other public filings, in evaluating our business. If any of the following risks actually occurs, our business, financial condition, results of operations and future growth prospects would likely be materially and adversely affected. In these circumstances, the market price of our common stock would likely decline.
Risks Related to Chemomab’s Business, Research and Development and the Biopharmaceutical Industry
Chemomab has a limited operating history and funding, which may make it difficult to evaluate its prospects and likelihood of success.
Chemomab is a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company with a limited operating history. Chemomab was incorporated in 2015, has no products approved for commercial sale and has not generated any revenue. Its operations to date have been limited to organizing and staffing the company, business planning, raising capital, establishing its intellectual property portfolio and conducting research and development of its product candidates, technology related to CCL24 and novel therapies for the treatment of inflammation and fibrosis. Chemomab’s approach to the discovery and development of product candidates is unproven, and Chemomab does not know whether it will be able to develop any products of commercial value. In addition, Chemomab’s lead product candidate, CM-101, is in early clinical development for the treatment of PSC and SSc. The clinical programs will require substantial additional development and clinical research, both in time and resources, before Chemomab is in a position to apply for or receive regulatory approvals and begin generating revenue in connection with the sale of such product candidates. Chemomab has not yet demonstrated the ability to successfully complete a large-scale, pivotal clinical trial, obtain marketing approval, manufacture a commercial scale product, or arrange for a third party to do so on its behalf, or conduct sales and marketing activities necessary for successful product commercialization. Consequently, predictions about Chemomab’s future success or viability may not be as accurate as they could be if Chemomab had a longer operating history or a history of successfully developing and commercializing pharmaceutical products.
In addition, as a business with a limited operating history, Chemomab may encounter unforeseen expenses, difficulties, complications, delays and other known or unknown factors and risks frequently experienced by early-stage biopharmaceutical companies in rapidly evolving fields. Consequently, Chemomab has no meaningful history of operations upon which to evaluate its business, and predictions about its future success or viability may not be as accurate as they could be if Chemomab had a longer operating history or a history of successfully developing and commercializing drug products. Chemomab will eventually need to transition from a company with a research and development focus to a company capable of supporting commercial activities. Chemomab may not be successful in such a transition and, as a result, its business may be adversely affected.
As Chemomab continues to build its business, it expects its financial condition and operating results to fluctuate significantly from quarter to quarter and year to year due to a variety of factors, many of which are beyond Chemomab’s control.
Chemomab’s business is highly dependent on the success of its lead product candidate, CM-101, and any other product candidates that it advances into clinical studies. All of Chemomab’s programs will require significant additional clinical development.
Chemomab currently has no products that are approved for commercial sale and may never be able to develop marketable products. Chemomab is very early in its development efforts and has only one product candidate, CM-101, in early clinical development. Because CM-101 is Chemomab’s lead product candidate, if CM-101 encounters safety or efficacy problems, development delays, regulatory issues or other problems, Chemomab’s development plans and business would be significantly harmed. Chemomab has completed a Phase 1a SAD study with healthy volunteers, a Phase 1b MAD study of CM-101 in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, or NAFLD, a Phase 2a safety, Pk and liver fibrosis biomarker study in NASH patients, an open-label exploratory study in severe lung injury in hospitalized COVID-19 patients and is recruiting patients in a Phase 2 PSC trial. Chemomab has completed a Phase 1a SAD study with healthy volunteers, a Phase 1b MAD study of CM-101 in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, or NAFLD, and is recruiting volunteers to participate in its in Phase 2a Safety, Pk and biomarkers study in NASH patients. Chemomab plans to initiate a Phase 2 SSc study around midyear of 2023.
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Chemomab expects that a substantial portion of its efforts and expenditures over the next few years will be devoted to CM-101, which will require additional clinical development, management of clinical and manufacturing activities, regulatory approval in multiple jurisdictions, obtaining manufacturing supply, building of a commercial organization, substantial investment and significant marketing efforts before it can generate any revenues from any commercial sales. Chemomab cannot be certain that it will be able to successfully complete any of these activities. In addition, if one or more of Chemomab’s product candidates are approved, Chemomab may need to ensure access to sufficient commercial manufacturing capacity and conduct significant marketing efforts in connection with any commercial launch. In addition, if one or more of Chemomab’s product candidates are approved, Chemomab must ensure access to sufficient commercial manufacturing capacity and conduct significant marketing efforts in connection with any commercial launch. These efforts will require substantial investment, and Chemomab may not have the financial resources to continue the development of its product candidates.
Chemomab will need to raise substantial additional funds through public or private equity or debt transactions and/or complete one or more strategic transactions or partnerships, to complete development of CM-101 or any other product candidates. If Chemomab is unable to raise such financing or complete such a transaction, it may not be able to fund the clinical trials of its product candidates and potentially commercialize those product candidates. If Chemomab is unable to continue to attract and retain high-quality personnel and consultants, the rate and success at which it can discover and develop product candidates and operate its business will be limited.
As a result of the expected development timeline to potentially obtain FDA approval for CM-101, the substantial additional costs associated with the development of our product candidates, including the costs associated with clinical trials related thereto, and the substantial cost of commercializing CM-101, Chemomab will need to raise substantial additional funding through public or private equity or debt transactions or a strategic combination or partnership. If Chemomab is delayed in obtaining funding or is unable to complete a strategic transaction, Chemomab may have to delay or discontinue development activities on CM-101 and our other product candidates. Even if Chemomab is able to fund continued development of CM-101 or any of our other product candidates is approved, Chemomab expects that it will need to raise substantial additional funding through public or private equity or debt securities or complete a strategic transaction or partnership to successfully commercialize CM-101 or any other product candidate.
Chemomab believes its cash and cash equivalents and bank deposits as of December 31, 2022 will be sufficient to fund its operations at least through March 31, 2024. Sales of Chemomab’s ADSs dilute the ownership interest of its shareholders and may cause the price per ADS to decrease. Changing circumstances may cause us to consume capital significantly faster or slower than Chemomab currently anticipates. Chemomab has based these estimates on assumptions that may prove to be wrong, and Chemomab could exhaust its available financial resources sooner than currently anticipated.
Chemomab’s liquidity, and ability to raise additional capital or complete any strategic transaction, depends on a number of factors, including, but not limited to, the following:
• | the costs and timing for potential additional clinical trials in order to gain possible regulatory approval for CM-101and our other product candidates; |
• | the market price of Chemomab’s ADSs and the availability and cost of additional equity capital from existing and potential new investors; |
• | Chemomab’s ability to retain the listing of its ADSs on the Nasdaq Capital Market; |
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• | general economic and industry conditions affecting the availability and cost of capital, including as a result of deteriorating market conditions due to investor concerns regarding inflation and continued hostilities between Russia and Ukraine; |
• | Chemomab’s ability to control costs associated with its operations; |
• | the costs of filing, prosecuting, defending and enforcing any patent claims and other intellectual property rights; and |
• | the terms and conditions of our existing collaborative and licensing agreements. |
The sale of additional equity or convertible debt securities would likely result in substantial dilution to our stockholders. If Chemomab raise additional funds through the incurrence of indebtedness, the obligations related to such indebtedness would be senior to rights of holders of our capital stock and could contain covenants that would restrict our operations. Chemomab also cannot predict what consideration might be available, if any, to us or our stockholders, in connection with any strategic transaction. Should strategic alternatives or additional capital not be available to us, or not be available on acceptable terms, Chemomab may be unable to realize value from its assets and discharge its liabilities in the normal course of business which may, among other alternatives, cause Chemomab to further delay, substantially reduce or discontinue operational activities to conserve our cash resources.
Chemomab’s approach in the area of fibrotic diseases is novel and unproven and may not result in marketable products.
Chemomab’s central objective is to design and develop targeted treatments for inflammation and fibrosis with an initial focus on the neutralization of CCL24 signaling, which is known to regulate fibrotic and inflammatory processes. While several studies are currently underway, this mechanism has not yet been definitively proven to successfully treat inflammation and fibrosis. Targeting CCL24 to treat inflammation and fibrosis is a novel approach in a rapidly developing field, and there can be no assurance that Chemomab can avoid unforeseen problems or delays in the development of its product candidates, that such problems or delays will not result in unanticipated costs, or that any such development problems can or will be solved. Chemomab has only tested its lead product candidate, CM-101, in early trials in healthy volunteers, NAFLD, NASH and COVID-19 lung injury patients. Chemomab has only tested its lead product candidate, CM-101, in healthy volunteers and NAFLD patients. Therefore, Chemomab may ultimately discover that its approach does not possess properties required for therapeutic effectiveness. As a result, Chemomab may elect to abandon the program or never succeed in developing a marketable product, which would have a significant effect on the success and profitability of its business.
Clinical development involves a lengthy, complex and expensive process, with an uncertain outcome.
Before obtaining the requisite regulatory approvals from the FDA or other comparable foreign regulatory authorities for the sale of any of its product candidates, Chemomab must support its application with clinical studies that prove that such product candidate is safe and effective in humans. Clinical testing is expensive and can take many years to complete, and its outcome is inherently uncertain. In particular, the general approach for FDA approval of a new drug requires positive data from two well-controlled Phase 3 clinical studies of the relevant drug in the relevant patient population. Failure can occur at any time during the clinical study process. Chemomab may experience delays in initiating and completing any clinical studies that it is conducting or intends to conduct, including as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic or other public health emergencies, and Chemomab does not know whether its ongoing or planned clinical studies will begin or progress on schedule, need to be redesigned, enroll patients on time or be completed on schedule, or at all. Chemomab may experience delays in initiating and completing any clinical studies that it is conducting or intends to conduct, including as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic, and Chemomab does not know whether its ongoing or planned clinical studies will begin or progress on schedule, need to be redesigned, enroll patients on time or be completed on schedule, or at all.
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Phase 3 clinical studies typically involve hundreds of patients, have significant costs and take years to complete. A product candidate can fail at any stage of testing, even after observing promising signals of activity in earlier preclinical studies or clinical trials. The results of preclinical studies and early clinical trials of Chemomab’s product candidates may not be predictive of the results of later-stage clinical studies. In addition, initial or interim success in clinical studies may not be indicative of results obtained when such studies are completed. There is typically an extremely high rate of attrition from the failure of product candidates proceeding through clinical studies. Product candidates in later stages of clinical studies may fail to show the desired safety and efficacy profile despite having progressed through preclinical studies and initial clinical trials. A number of companies in the biopharmaceutical industry have suffered significant setbacks in advanced clinical studies due to lack of efficacy or unacceptable safety issues, notwithstanding promising results in earlier studies. Most product candidates that commence clinical studies are never approved as products and there can be no assurance that any of Chemomab’s future clinical studies will ultimately be successful or support further clinical development of CM-101. Product candidates that appear promising in the early phases of development may fail to reach the market for several reasons, including:
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In addition, differences in trial design between early-stage clinical studies and later-stage clinical studies make it difficult to extrapolate the results of earlier clinical studies to later clinical studies. Moreover, clinical data are often susceptible to varying interpretations and analyses, and many companies that have believed their product candidates performed satisfactorily in clinical studies have nonetheless failed to obtain marketing approval of their products.
In addition, the standards used by the FDA and comparable foreign regulatory authorities when regulating Chemomab require judgment and can change, which makes it difficult to predict with certainty how they will be applied. For more information, see “Risk Factors - Risks Related to Chemomab’s Regulatory Approvals.”
Successful completion of clinical studies is a prerequisite to submitting a marketing application to the FDA and similar marketing applications to comparable foreign regulatory authorities, for each product candidate and, consequently, the ultimate approval and commercial marketing of any product candidates. Chemomab may experience negative or inconclusive results, which may result in it deciding, or it being required by regulators, to conduct additional clinical studies or trials or abandon some or all of its product development programs, which could have a material adverse effect on Chemomab’s business.
Chemomab may incur additional costs or experience delays in completing the development and commercialization of CM-101 or any other product candidates.
Chemomab may experience delays in initiating or completing clinical studies. It also may experience numerous unforeseen events during, or as a result of, any future clinical studies that could delay or prevent its ability to receive marketing approval or commercialize CM-101 or any other product candidates, including:
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Chemomab’s product development costs will increase if it experiences additional delays in clinical testing or in obtaining marketing approvals. Chemomab does not know whether any of its clinical studies will begin as planned, will need to be restructured or will be completed on schedule, or at all. If Chemomab does not achieve its product development goals in the time frames it announces and expects, the approval and commercialization of its product candidates may be delayed or prevented entirely. Significant clinical study delays also could shorten any periods during which it may have the exclusive right to commercialize its product candidates and may allow its competitors to bring products to market before Chemomab does, potentially impairing its ability to successfully commercialize its product candidates and harming its business and results of operations. Any delays in Chemomab’s clinical development programs may harm its business, financial condition and results of operations significantly.
Chemomab’s ongoing and future clinical studies may reveal significant adverse events or immunogenicity related responses and may result in a safety profile that could delay or prevent regulatory approval or market acceptance of its product candidate.
Chemomab completed its Phase 1a and Phase 1b and Phase 2a clinical studies of its lead product candidate, CM-101, in healthy volunteers, NAFLD, NASH and COVID-19 lung injury patients, and, with the exception of a number of reported minor adverse events (including mild headaches, changes in blood pressure and mild-moderate increases in liver enzymes,) and one serious adverse event (a transient ischemic attack or seizure judged to be unrelated to administration of CM-101), CM-101 was observed to be generally well-tolerated across all doses in about 70 trial participants. Some potential therapeutics developed in the biopharmaceutical industry that initially showed therapeutic promise in early-stage trials have later been found to cause side effects that prevented their further development and ultimately commercialization. Even if side effects do not preclude the product candidate from obtaining or maintaining marketing approval, undesirable side effects may inhibit market acceptance of the approved product due to its tolerability versus other therapies.
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Protein biopharmaceuticals, including, monoclonal antibodies, or mAbs, may be immunogenic and promote immune responses against themselves. In particular, anti-drug antibodies, or ADAs, may be produced by patients following infusion mAbs and may disturb the pharmacokinetics of mAbs, neutralize their therapeutic activities or induce allergic or autoimmune symptoms. Clinical immunogenicity can range from mild, transient antibody responses with no apparent clinical manifestations to loss of therapeutic efficacy and even life-threatening reactions. Several approved therapeutic antibodies have been found to induce neutralizing antibodies, as illustrated by the approved anti-TNFa antibodies infliximab and adalimumab as well as the approved anti-IL-17 mAb ixekizumab. Chemomab’s product candidate, CM-101, is a humanized antibody that, similar to other humanized approved mAbs, was shown to include several non-germline sequences that may serve as a source for immunogenicity in therapeutic antibodies. Clinical studies to date have not identified any anti-drug antibodies, or ADAs. Clinical studies to date have shown a lack of anti-drug antibodies, or ADAs. Additional larger clinical studies will be needed to address the risk of immunogenicity and, if discovered, Chemomab’s business will be materially and adversely affected.
Additionally, if unacceptable side effects, including materialized risks of immunogenicity, do arise in the development of Chemomab’s product candidates, Chemomab, the FDA or the IRBs at the institutions in which its studies are conducted, or the Data Safety Monitoring Board, if constituted for its clinical studies, could recommend a suspension or termination of Chemomab’s clinical studies, or the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities could order Chemomab to cease further development of or deny approval of a product candidate for any or all targeted indications. In addition, drug-related side effects could affect patient recruitment or the ability of enrolled patients to complete a trial or result in potential product liability claims. In addition, these side effects may not be appropriately recognized or managed by the treating medical staff. Chemomab expects to have to train medical personnel using its product candidates to understand the side effect profiles for its clinical studies and upon any commercialization of any of its product candidates. Inadequate training in recognizing or managing the potential side effects of its product candidates could result in patient injury or death. Any of these occurrences may harm Chemomab’s business, financial condition and prospects significantly.
Additionally, if one or more of Chemomab’s product candidates receives marketing approval, and Chemomab or others later identify undesirable side effects caused by such products, a number of potentially significant negative consequences could result, including:
| • | regulatory authorities may withdraw approvals of such product; |
| • | regulatory authorities may require additional warnings on the label, such as a “black box” warning or contraindication; |
| • | additional restrictions may be imposed on the marketing of the particular product or the manufacturing processes for the product or any component thereof; |
| • | Chemomab may be required to implement a Risk Evaluation and Mitigation Strategy, or REMS, or create a medication guide outlining the risks of such side effects for distribution to patients; |
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Any of these events could prevent Chemomab from achieving or maintaining market acceptance of a product candidate, if approved, and could significantly harm Chemomab’s business, results of operations and prospects.
Interim, topline and preliminary data from our clinical trials that we announce or publish from time to time may change as more patient data become available or as additional analyses are conducted and are subject to audit and verification procedures that could result in material changes in the final data.
From time to time, we may publicly disclose preliminary, interim or topline data from our clinical trials. The preliminary data is based on a preliminary analysis of then available data, and the results and related findings and conclusions are subject to change following a more comprehensive review of the data related to the particular study or trial. For example, we may report tumor responses in certain patients that are unconfirmed at the time and which do not ultimately result in confirmed responses to treatment after follow-up evaluations. We also make assumptions, estimations, calculations and conclusions as part of our analyses of data, and we may not have received or had the opportunity to fully and carefully evaluate all data. As a result, the topline results that we report may differ from future results of the same studies, or different conclusions or considerations may qualify such results, once additional data have been received and fully evaluated. Topline data also remain subject to audit and verification procedures that may result in the final data being materially different from the preliminary data we previously published. As a result, topline data should be viewed with caution until the final data are available. In addition, we may report interim analyses of only certain endpoints rather than all endpoints. Interim data from clinical trials that we may complete are subject to the risk that one or more of the clinical outcomes may materially change as patient enrollment continues and more patient data become available. Adverse changes between interim data and final data could significantly harm our business and prospects. Further, additional disclosure of interim data by us or by our competitors in the future could result in volatility in the price of our common stock.
In addition, the information we choose to publicly disclose regarding a particular clinical trial is typically selected from a more extensive amount of available information. You or others may not agree with what we determine is the material or otherwise appropriate information to include in our disclosure, and any information we determine not to disclose may ultimately be deemed significant with respect to future decisions, conclusions, views, activities or otherwise regarding a particular product candidate or our business. If the preliminary or topline data that we report differ from late, final or actual results, or if others, including regulatory authorities, disagree with the conclusions reached, our ability to obtain approval for any product candidates that we may develop in the future may be harmed, which could harm our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects. If the FDA or an applicable foreign regulatory agency determines now or in the future that these facilities for the manufacture of its product candidates are noncompliant, Chemomab may need to find alternative manufacturing facilities, which would adversely impact its ability to develop, obtain regulatory approval for or market its product candidates.
Changes in methods of product candidate manufacturing or formulation may result in additional costs or delay.
As product candidates progress through preclinical studies and clinical trials to regulatory approval and commercialization, it is common that various aspects of the development program, such as manufacturing methods and formulation, are altered along the way in an effort to optimize yield and manufacturing batch size, minimize costs and achieve consistent quality and results. Any material manufacturing changes made to any product candidate that we may develop could perform differently and affect the results of planned clinical trials or other clinical trials conducted with the altered materials. This could delay completion of clinical trials, require the conduct of bridging clinical trials or the repetition of one or more clinical trials, increase clinical trial costs, delay approval of our product candidates and jeopardize our ability to commercialize any product candidates that we may develop in the future, if approved, and generate revenue.
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If Chemomab encounters difficulties enrolling patients in its clinical studies, including due to COVID-19 or other public health emergencies, its clinical development activities could be delayed or otherwise adversely affected.
Chemomab may experience difficulties in patient enrollment in its clinical studies for a variety of reasons. The timely completion of clinical studies in accordance with its protocols depends, among other things, on Chemomab’s ability to enroll a sufficient number of patients who remain in the trial until its conclusion. The enrollment of patients depends on many factors, including:
| • | the patient eligibility and exclusion criteria defined in the protocol; |
• | the need to receive study drug via an IV infusion; |
| • | the size of the patient population required for analysis of the trial’s primary endpoints and the process for identifying patients; |
| • | the willingness or availability of patients to participate in Chemomab’s trials (including due to fears of contracting COVID-19); |
| • | the proximity of patients to trial sites; |
| • | the design of the trial; |
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| • | Chemomab’s ability to obtain and maintain patient informed consents; and |
| • | the risk that patients enrolled in clinical studies will drop out of the trials before completion. |
Further, timely enrollment in clinical studies is reliant on clinical study sites which may be adversely affected by global health matters, including, among other things, pandemics. For example, Chemomab’s clinical study sites have been affected by the COVID-19 pandemic. Commencement of the enrollment of Chemomab’s clinical studies of CM-101 in PSC had been delayed due to the pandemic.
Some factors from a resurgent COVID-19 pandemic or other emerging public health emergencies that Chemomab believes could potentially adversely affect enrollment in its trials include:
These and other factors arising from a resurgent COVID-19 pandemic or other emerging public health emergencies could adversely impact Chemomab’s clinical studies.
The market opportunities for CM-101, if approved, may be smaller than Chemomab anticipates.
Chemomab expects to initially seek approval of CM-101 for the treatment of PSC and SSc. Its projections of the number of PSC and SSc patients is based on its beliefs and estimates. These estimates have been derived from a variety of sources, including scientific literature, patient foundations and publicly available databases, and may prove to be incorrect. Further, new sources may reveal a change in the estimated number of patients, and the number of patients may turn out to be lower than Chemomab expected. The potential addressable patient population for Chemomab’s current programs or future product candidates may be limited. The ultimate market opportunity for Chemomab’s product candidates will depend on, among other things, the final labeling for such product candidates as agreed with the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities, acceptance by the medical community and patient access, potential competition and drug pricing and reimbursement. Even if Chemomab obtains significant market share for any product candidate, if approved, if the potential target populations are small, Chemomab may never achieve profitability without obtaining marketing approval for additional indications.
Chemomab may not be successful in its efforts to identify or discover additional product candidates in the future.
Chemomab’s research programs may initially show promise in identifying potential product candidates, yet may fail to yield product candidates for clinical development for a number of reasons, including:
| • | Chemomab’s inability to design such product candidates with the pharmacological properties that it desires or attractive pharmacokinetics; or |
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| • | potential product candidates may, on further study, be shown to have harmful side effects or other characteristics that indicate that they are unlikely to be medicines that will receive marketing approval and achieve market acceptance. |
Research programs to identify new product candidates require substantial technical, financial and human resources. If Chemomab is unable to identify suitable compounds for preclinical and clinical development, it will not be able to obtain product revenue in future periods, which likely would result in significant harm to Chemomab’s financial position and adversely impact the price of its ADSs.
Certain of Chemomab’s key strategic initiatives, including investing in the internal discovery of new product candidates and in-licensing or acquiring new assets to expand Chemomab’s current pipeline, involve various risks that may impair Chemomab’s ability to actualize the foregoing strategies.
Due to Chemomab’s limited resources and access to capital, it must make decisions on the allocation of resources to certain programs and product candidates; these decisions may prove to be wrong and may adversely affect Chemomab’s business.
Chemomab has limited financial and human resources and intends to initially focus on research programs and product candidates for a limited set of indications. As a result, Chemomab may forgo or delay pursuit of opportunities with other product candidates or for other indications that later prove to have greater commercial potential or a greater likelihood of success.
There can be no assurance that Chemomab will ever be able to identify additional therapeutic opportunities for its product candidates or to develop suitable potential product candidates through internal research programs, which could materially adversely affect its future growth and prospects. Chemomab may focus its efforts and resources on potential product candidates or other potential programs that ultimately prove to be unsuccessful.
If product liability lawsuits are brought against Chemomab, it may incur substantial financial or other liabilities and may be required to limit commercialization of its product candidates.
Chemomab faces an inherent risk of product liability as a result of testing CM-101, and will face an even greater risk if Chemomab commercializes any products. For example, Chemomab may be sued if any of its product candidates cause or are perceived to cause injury or are found to be otherwise unsuitable during clinical studies, manufacturing, marketing or sale. Any such product liability claims may include allegations of defects in manufacturing, defects in design, a failure to warn of dangers inherent in the product, negligence, strict liability or a breach of warranties. Claims could also be asserted under state consumer protection acts. If Chemomab cannot successfully defend itself against product liability claims, it may incur substantial liabilities or be required to limit commercialization of its product candidates. Even successful defense would require significant financial and management resources. Chemomab’s inability to obtain sufficient product liability insurance at an acceptable cost to protect against potential product liability claims could prevent or inhibit the commercialization of products Chemomab develops. Chemomab will need to obtain additional insurance for clinical studies as it continues clinical development of CM-101 and as additional product candidates enter clinical studies. However, Chemomab may be unable to obtain, or may obtain on unfavorable terms, clinical study insurance in amounts adequate to cover any liabilities from any of its clinical studies. Chemomab’s insurance policies may also have various exclusions, and Chemomab may be subject to a product liability claim for which it has no coverage. Chemomab may have to pay any amount awarded by a court or negotiated in a settlement that exceed its coverage limitations or that are not covered by insurance, and Chemomab may not have, or be able to obtain, sufficient capital to pay such amounts. Even if Chemomab’s agreements with any future corporate collaborators entitles Chemomab to indemnification against losses, such indemnification may not be available or adequate should any claim arise.
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Chemomab has been granted Orphan Drug Designation for CM-101 in connection with three indications and may seek Orphan Drug Designation for other indications or product candidates, and Chemomab may be unable to maintain the benefits associated with Orphan Drug Designation, including the potential for market exclusivity, and may not receive Orphan Drug Designation for other indications or for its other product candidates.
Regulatory authorities in some jurisdictions, including the United States and Europe, may designate drugs intended for relatively small patient populations as orphan drugs. Under the Orphan Drug Act, the FDA may designate a drug as an orphan drug if it is a drug intended to treat a rare disease or condition, which is generally defined as a patient population of fewer than 200,000 individuals in the United States, or a patient population greater than 200,000 in the United States where there is no reasonable expectation that the cost of developing the drug will be recovered from sales in the United States. In the United States, Orphan Drug Designation has entitled a party to financial incentives such as opportunities for grant funding toward clinical study costs, tax advantages and user-fee waivers. In the United States, Orphan Drug Designation entitles a party to financial incentives such as opportunities for grant funding toward clinical study costs, tax advantages and user-fee waivers. In addition, if a product that has Orphan Drug Designation subsequently receives the first FDA approval for the disease for which it has such designation, the product is entitled to orphan drug exclusivity, which means that the FDA may not approve any other applications, including a full NDA to market the same product for the same indication for seven years, except in limited circumstances, such as a showing of clinical superiority to the product with orphan drug exclusivity or where the manufacturer is unable to assure sufficient product quantity. However, Orphan Drug Designation neither shortens the development time or regulatory review time of a drug nor gives the drug any advantage in the regulatory review or approval process. In 2022, the Eleventh Circuit’s decision in Catalyst Pharmaceuticals, Inc. v. FDA challenges FDA’s long-standing interpretation and provides that the orphan drug exclusivity should be applied to block FDA approval of the same drug for the “same disease or condition” instead of the approved indication during the exclusivity period. If the Catalyst decision is applied beyond the facts of that case, FDA may revoke approvals or the grant of subsequent orphan exclusivity periods for the same drugs approved for different indications within the same orphan-designated disease or condition. Catalyst has created some uncertainty with respect to the scope of the orphan drug exclusivity and may increase legal challenges in the field. FDA may work with the Congress to amend the orphan drug provisions in the law to provide more clarity to stakeholders. The extent of the impact of the Catalyst decision on the industry and on FDA’s regulation and policies with respect to orphan exclusivity as well as the impact of any future legislation on orphan drug approval and exclusivity is unclear.
In Catalyst Pharms., Inc. v. Becerra, 14 F.4th 1299 (11th Cir. 2021), the court disagreed with the FDA’s longstanding position that the orphan drug exclusivity only applies to the approved use or indication within an eligible disease. This decision created uncertainty in the application of the orphan drug exclusivity. On January 24, 2023, the FDA published a notice in the Federal Register to clarify that while the agency complies with the court’s order in Catalyst, FDA intends to continue to apply its longstanding interpretation of the regulations to matters outside of the scope of the Catalyst order – that is, the agency will continue tying the scope of orphan-drug exclusivity to the uses or indications for which a drug is approved, which permits other sponsors to obtain approval of a drug for new uses or indications within the same orphan designated disease or condition that have not yet been approved. It is unclear how future litigation, legislation, agency decisions, and administrative actions will impact the scope of the orphan drug exclusivity.
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The FDA and EMA granted Orphan Drug Designation to CM-101 in its primary indications of PSC, SSc and idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, or IPF. Chemomab may seek Orphan Drug Designations for CM-101 in other indications or for other product candidates. There can be no assurance that Chemomab will be able to obtain such designations.
Even if Chemomab obtains Orphan Drug Designation for any product candidate in specific indications, it may not be the first to obtain marketing approval of such product candidate for the orphan-designated indication due to the uncertainties associated with developing pharmaceutical products. In addition, exclusive marketing rights in the United States may be limited if Chemomab seeks approval for an indication broader than the orphan-designated indication or may be lost if the FDA later determines that the request for designation was materially defective or if the manufacturer is unable to assure sufficient quantities of the product to meet the needs of patients with the rare disease or condition.
Further, even if Chemomab obtains orphan drug exclusivity in the United States for a product, that exclusivity may not effectively protect the product from competition because different drugs with different active moieties can be approved for the same condition. Even after an orphan product is approved, the FDA can subsequently approve the same drug with the same active moiety for the same condition if the FDA concludes that the later drug is safer, more effective or makes a major contribution to patient care.
Chemomab will need to expand its organization, and it may experience difficulties in managing this growth, which could disrupt its operations.
As of December 31, 2022, the Company had 37 employees / full time consultants. The Company expect to experience significant growth in the number of its employees and the scope of its operations, particularly in the areas of product candidate development, regulatory affairs and sales and marketing. Chemomab may have difficulty identifying, hiring and integrating new personnel. Future growth would impose significant additional responsibilities on its management, including the need to identify, recruit, maintain, motivate and integrate additional employees, consultants and contractors. Also, Chemomab’s management may need to divert a disproportionate amount of its attention away from its day-to-day activities and devote a substantial amount of time to managing these growth activities. Chemomab may not be able to effectively manage the expansion of its operations, which may result in weaknesses in its infrastructure, give rise to operational mistakes, loss of business opportunities, loss of employees and reduced productivity among remaining employees. Chemomab’s expected growth could require significant capital expenditures and may divert financial resources from other projects, such as the development of product candidates. If Chemomab’s management is unable to effectively manage its growth, its expenses may increase more than expected, its ability to generate and/or grow revenues could be reduced, and it may not be able to implement its business strategy. Chemomab’s future financial performance and its ability to commercialize its product candidates and compete effectively will depend, in part, on its ability to effectively manage any future growth.
Many of the biopharmaceutical companies that Chemomab competes against for qualified personnel and consultants have greater financial and other resources, different risk profiles and a longer history in the industry than Chemomab does. If Chemomab is unable to continue to attract and retain high-quality personnel and consultants, the rate and success at which it can discover and develop product candidates and operate its business will be limited.
Chemomab has incurred significant operating losses since its inception and anticipates it will incur continued losses for the foreseeable future.
The Company has funded its operations to date through proceeds from sales of its equity and grants from the Israel Innovation Authority, or the IIA, which as of December 31, 2022, resulted in gross proceeds of approximately $96 million. As of December 31, 2022, Chemomab’s cash, cash equivalents and deposits were approximately $40million. As of December 31, 2021, Chemomab’s cash, cash equivalents and deposits were $61.2 million. Chemomab has incurred net losses in each year since its inception, and it has an accumulated deficit of $63.8 million as of December 31, 2022. Chemomab expects its existing cash, cash equivalents and bank deposits will allow it to fund its operating expenses and capital expenditure requirements at least through March 31, 2024.
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Substantially all of Chemomab’s operating losses have resulted from general and administrative costs associated with its operations, and costs associated with its research and development programs, including for its preclinical and clinical product candidates. Chemomab expects to incur increasing levels of operating losses over the next several years and for the foreseeable future. Chemomab’s prior losses, combined with expected future losses, have had and will continue to have an adverse effect on its shareholders’ deficit and working capital. In any particular quarter or quarters, Chemomab’s operating results could be below the expectations of securities analysts or investors, which could cause the price of Chemomab’s ADSs to decline.
Chemomab expects its research and development expenses to significantly increase in connection with its clinical studies of its product candidates. In addition, if Chemomab obtains marketing approval for its product candidates, it will incur significant sales and marketing, legal, and outsourced-manufacturing expenses. As a public company, Chemomab expects to continue to incur significant and increasing operating losses for the foreseeable future. Because of the numerous risks and uncertainties associated with developing pharmaceutical products, Chemomab is also unable to predict the extent of any future losses or when it will become profitable, if at all. Even if Chemomab does become profitable, it may not be able to sustain or increase its profitability on a quarterly or annual basis.
A possible resurgent COVID-19 pandemic or the future outbreak of other highly infectious or contagious diseases could seriously harm Chemomab’s research, development and potential future commercialization efforts, increase its costs and expenses and have a material adverse effect on its business, financial condition and results of operations.
Broad-based business or economic disruptions have, and could continue to, adversely affect Chemomab’s ongoing or planned research and development activities. For example, over the past few years the COVID-19 pandemic has caused significant disruptions to the Israeli, United States, European and global economy and has contributed to significant volatility and negative pressure in financial markets and created many barriers to the successful conduct of clinical trials.
Chemomab cannot presently predict the scope and severity of any potential business shutdowns or disruptions from crises related to either disease outbreaks or possible political or social turmoil,. If Chemomab or any of the third parties with whom it engages, however, were to experience shutdowns or other business disruptions, Chemomab’s ability to conduct its business in the manner and on the timelines presently planned could be materially and negatively affected, which could have a material adverse impact on its business and its results of operation and financial condition.
Risks Related to Chemomab’s Intellectual Property Rights
If Chemomab is unable to protect its patents or other proprietary rights, or if Chemomab infringes the patents or other proprietary rights of others, its competitiveness and business prospects may be materially damaged.
Patent and other proprietary rights are essential to Chemomab’s business. Chemomab’s success depends to a significant degree on its ability to obtain and enforce patents and licenses to patent rights, both in the United States and in other countries. Chemomab cannot guarantee that pending patent applications will result in issued patents, that patents issued or licensed will not be challenged or circumvented by competitors, that the patents and other intellectual property rights of Chemomab and its business partners will not be found to be invalid or that the intellectual property rights of others will not prevent Chemomab from selling its products or from executing on its strategies.
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The patent position of a biopharmaceutical company is often uncertain and involves complex legal and factual questions. Significant litigation concerning patents and products is pervasive in Chemomab’s industry. Patent claims include challenges to the coverage and validity of Chemomab’s patents on products or processes as well as allegations that its products infringe patents held by competitors or other third parties. A loss in any of these types of cases could result in a loss of patent protection or the ability to market products, which could lead to a significant loss of sales, or otherwise materially affect future results of operations. Chemomab also relies on trademarks, copyrights, trade secrets and know-how to develop, maintain and strengthen its competitive positions. Third parties may know, discover or independently develop equivalent proprietary information or techniques, or they may gain access to Chemomab’s trade secrets or disclose such trade secrets to the public.
Although Chemomab’s employees, consultants, parties to collaboration agreements and other business partners are generally subject to confidentiality or similar agreements to protect its confidential and proprietary information, these agreements may be breached, and Chemomab may not have adequate remedies for any breach. In addition, Chemomab’s trade secrets may otherwise become known or be independently discovered by competitors. To the extent that Chemomab’s employees, consultants, parties to collaboration agreements and other business partners use intellectual property owned by others in their work for the company, disputes may arise as to the rights in related or resulting know-how and inventions.
Furthermore, Chemomab’s intellectual property, other proprietary technology and other sensitive company data is potentially vulnerable to loss, damage or misappropriation from system malfunction, computer viruses, unauthorized access to data or misappropriation or misuse thereof by those with permitted access and other events. While Chemomab has invested to protect its intellectual property and other data, and continue to work diligently in this area, there can be no assurance that its precautionary measures will prevent breakdowns, breaches, cyber incidents or other events. Such events could have a material adverse effect on Chemomab’s reputation, business, financial condition or results of operations. Misappropriation or other loss of Chemomab’s intellectual property from any of the foregoing could have a material adverse effect on its competitive position and may cause it to incur substantial litigation costs.
Chemomab may not identify relevant third-party patents or may incorrectly interpret the relevance, scope or expiration of a third-party patent, which might adversely affect its ability to develop, manufacture and market its product candidates.
From time to time Chemomab may identify patents or applications in the same general area as its products and product candidates. Chemomab may determine these third-party patents are irrelevant to its business based on various factors, including its interpretation of the scope of the patent claims and its interpretation of when the patent expires. If the patents are asserted against Chemomab, however, a court may disagree with its determinations. Further, while Chemomab may determine that the scope of claims that will issue from a patent application does not present a risk, it is difficult to accurately predict the scope of claims that will issue from a patent application, its determination may be incorrect, and the issuing patent may be asserted against Chemomab. Chemomab cannot guarantee that it will be able to successfully settle or otherwise resolve such infringement claims. If Chemomab fails in any such dispute, in addition to being forced to pay monetary damages, it may be temporarily or permanently prohibited from commercializing its product candidates or be required to obtain a license under such patent, which may not be available on reasonable terms or at all. Chemomab might, if possible, also be forced to redesign its product candidates so that it no longer infringes, misappropriates or otherwise violates the third-party intellectual property rights. Any of these events, even if Chemomab were ultimately to prevail, could require it to divert substantial financial and management resources that it would otherwise be able to devote to its business. Any of the foregoing could have a material adverse effect on Chemomab’s business, financial condition, results of operations, and prospects.
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Changes in patent laws or patent jurisprudence could diminish the value of patents in general, thereby impairing Chemomab’s ability to protect its product candidates.
As is the case with other biopharmaceutical and pharmaceutical companies, Chemomab’s success is heavily dependent on intellectual property, particularly patents. Obtaining and enforcing patents in the biopharmaceutical and pharmaceutical industries involve both technological and legal complexity. Therefore, obtaining and enforcing biopharmaceutical and pharmaceutical patents is costly, time-consuming and inherently uncertain. In addition, the Leahy-Smith America Invents Act, or the AIA, which was passed in September 2011, resulted in significant changes to the United States patent system.
An important change introduced by the AIA is that, as of March 16, 2013, the United States transitioned from a “first-to-invent” to a “first-to-file” system for deciding which party should be granted a patent when two or more patent applications are filed by different parties claiming the same invention. Under a “first-to-file” system, assuming the other requirements for patentability are met, the first inventor to file a patent application generally will be entitled to a patent on the invention regardless of whether another inventor had made the invention earlier. A third party that files a patent application in the USPTO after that date but before Chemomab could therefore be awarded a patent covering an invention of ours even if it made the invention before it was made by the third party. This will require Chemomab to be cognizant of the time from invention to filing of a patent application and be diligent in filing patent applications, but circumstances could prevent it from promptly filing patent applications on its inventions.
Among some of the other changes introduced by the AIA are changes that limit where a patentee may file a patent infringement suit and providing opportunities for third parties to challenge any issued patent with the USPTO. This applies to all of Chemomab’s United States patents, even those issued before March 16, 2013. Because of a lower evidentiary standard in USPTO proceedings compared to the evidentiary standard in United States federal courts necessary to invalidate a patent claim, a third party could potentially provide evidence in a USPTO proceeding sufficient for the USPTO to hold a claim invalid even though the same evidence would be insufficient to invalidate the claim if first presented in a district court action.
Accordingly, a third party may attempt to use the USPTO procedures to invalidate Chemomab’s patent claims that would not have been invalidated if first challenged by the third party as a defendant in a district court action. It is not clear what, if any, impact the AIA will have on the operation of its business. However, the AIA and its implementation could increase the uncertainties and costs surrounding the prosecution of Chemomab or its licensors’ patent applications and the enforcement or defense of Chemomab or its licensors’ issued patents.
Chemomab may become involved in opposition, interference, derivation, inter partes review, post-grant review, reexamination or other proceedings challenging Chemomab or its licensors’ patent rights, and the outcome of any proceedings are highly uncertain. An adverse determination in any such proceeding could reduce the scope of, or invalidate, Chemomab’s owned or in-licensed patent rights, in whole or in part, allow third parties to commercialize its technology or products and compete directly with Chemomab, without payment to it, or result in Chemomab’s inability to manufacture or commercialize products without infringing third-party patent rights.
Additionally, the United States Supreme Court has ruled on several patent cases in recent years either narrowing the scope of patent protection available in certain circumstances or weakening the rights of patent owners in certain situations. In addition to increasing uncertainty with regard to Chemomab’s ability to obtain patents in the future, this combination of events has created uncertainty with respect to the validity, enforceability and value of patents, once obtained. Depending on decisions by Congress, the federal courts and the USPTO, as well as similar bodies in other jurisdictions, the laws and regulations governing patents could change in unpredictable ways that could weaken Chemomab’s ability to obtain new patents or to enforce its existing patents and patents that it might obtain in the future. Similarly, the complexity and uncertainty of European patent laws have also increased in recent years. In addition, the European patent system is relatively stringent in the type of amendments that are allowed during prosecution. Complying with these laws and regulations could limit Chemomab’s ability to obtain new patents in the future that may be important for its business, and these laws and regulations patents could continue to change in unpredictable ways that could have a material adverse effect on Chemomab’s existing patent rights and its ability to protect and enforce its intellectual property in the future.
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Obtaining and maintaining Chemomab’s patent protection depends on compliance with various procedural, document submission, fee payment and other requirements imposed by governmental patent agencies, and Chemomab’s patent protection could be reduced or eliminated for non-compliance with these requirements.
The USPTO and European and other patent agencies require compliance with a number of procedural, documentary, fee payment and other similar provisions during the patent application process. In addition, periodic maintenance, renewal and annuity fees on any issued patent are due to be paid to the USPTO and European and other patent agencies over the lifetime of a patent. While an inadvertent failure to make payment of such fees or to comply with such provisions can in many cases be cured by additional payment of a late fee or by other means in accordance with the applicable rules, there are situations in which such noncompliance will result in the abandonment or lapse of the patent or patent application, and the partial or complete loss of patent rights in the relevant jurisdiction. Non-compliance events that could result in abandonment or lapse of a patent or patent application include failure to respond to official actions within prescribed time limits, non-payment of fees and failure to properly legalize and submit formal documents within prescribed time limits. If Chemomab or its licensors fails to maintain the patents and patent applications covering its product candidates or if Chemomab or its licensors otherwise allow its patents or patent applications to be abandoned or lapse, its competitors might be able to enter the market, which would hurt Chemomab’s competitive position and could impair its ability to successfully commercialize its product candidates in any indication for which they are approved, which could have a material adverse effect on Chemomab’s business, financial condition, results of operations, and prospects.
Risks Related to Chemomab’s Regulatory Approvals
The regulatory approval processes of the FDA and comparable foreign authorities are lengthy, time consuming and inherently unpredictable, and if Chemomab is ultimately unable to obtain regulatory approval for CM-101 or any other product candidates, its business will be substantially harmed.
The time required to obtain approval by the FDA and comparable foreign authorities is unpredictable but typically takes many years following the commencement of clinical studies and depends upon numerous factors, including the substantial discretion of the regulatory authorities. In addition, approval policies, regulations or the type and amount of clinical data necessary to gain approval may change during the course of a product candidate’s clinical development and may vary among jurisdictions, which may cause delays in the approval or the decision not to approve an application. Regulatory authorities have substantial discretion in the approval process and may refuse to accept any application or may decide that Chemomab’s data is insufficient for approval and require additional preclinical, clinical or other data. Even if Chemomab eventually completes clinical testing and receives approval of any regulatory filing for its product candidates, the FDA and other comparable foreign regulatory authorities may approve Chemomab’s product candidates for a more limited indication or a narrower patient population than it originally requested. Chemomab has not obtained regulatory approval for any product candidate and it is possible that it will never obtain regulatory approval for CM-101 or any other product candidate. Chemomab is not permitted to market any of its product candidates in the United States until it receives regulatory approval of an NDA from the FDA.
Prior to obtaining approval to commercialize a product candidate in the United States or abroad, Chemomab must demonstrate with substantial evidence from well-controlled clinical studies, and to the satisfaction of the FDA or foreign regulatory agencies, that such product candidate is safe and effective for its intended use. Results from preclinical studies and clinical trials can be interpreted in different ways. Even if Chemomab believes the preclinical or clinical data for its product candidates are promising, such data may not be sufficient to support approval by the FDA and other regulatory authorities.
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The FDA or any foreign regulatory bodies can delay, limit or deny approval of Chemomab’s product candidates or require it to conduct additional preclinical or clinical testing or abandon a program for many reasons, including:
| • | the approval policies or regulations of the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may significantly change in a manner rendering Chemomab’s clinical data insufficient for approval. |
Moreover, preclinical and clinical data are often susceptible to varying interpretations and analyses and many companies that believed their product candidates performed satisfactorily in preclinical studies and clinical trials nonetheless failed to obtain FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authority approval. Chemomab cannot guarantee that the FDA or foreign regulatory authorities will interpret trial results as it does, and more trials could be required before Chemomab is able to submit applications seeking approval of its product candidates. To the extent that the results of the trials are not satisfactory to the FDA or foreign regulatory authorities for support of a marketing application, Chemomab may be required to expend significant resources, which may not be available to it, to conduct additional trials in support of potential approval of Chemomab’s product candidates. Furthermore, the approval policies or regulations of the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities may significantly change in a manner rendering Chemomab’s clinical data insufficient for approval, which may lead to the FDA or comparable foreign regulatory authorities delaying, limiting or denying approval of its product candidates.