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Risk Factors - ALZN
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Investing in our common stock involves a high degree of risk. You should carefully consider the risks described below, as well as the other information in this Annual Report, including our financial statements and the related notes and the section of this Annual Report titled “Management’s Discussion and Analysis of Financial Condition and Results of Operations,” before deciding whether to invest in our common stock. The occurrence of any of the events or developments described below could harm our business, financial condition, results of operations and growth prospects. In such an event, the market price of our common stock could decline and you may lose all or part of your investment. Additional risks and uncertainties not presently known to us or that we currently deem immaterial may also impair our business operations.
Risks Related to Our Company, Early Stage of Clinical Development and Financial Condition
We need to obtain substantial additional funding to complete the development and any commercialization of AL001 and ALZN002. If we are unable to raise this capital when needed, we may be forced to delay, reduce or eliminate our research and development programs and other operations.
We expect our expenses to increase substantially during the next few years. The development of biotechnology product candidates is capital intensive. As we conduct non-clinical research and clinical development of our product candidates, we will need substantial additional funds to maintain and expand our capabilities in a variety of areas including discovery and non-clinical research, clinical development, regulatory affairs, product development, product quality assurance, and pharmacovigilance. In addition, if we obtain marketing approval for any of our product candidates, we expect to incur significant commercialization expenses for marketing, sales, manufacturing and distribution. Some of those commercialization investments may be made at-risk in advance of receiving an approval.
As of April 30, 2024, we had $376,000 in cash and cash equivalents. In May 2024, subsequent to the end of our fiscal year, we entered into a transaction with an investor that, if the investor bides by its commitments, should produce a temporarily significant dollar amount of financing, subject to our ability to achieve certain milestones. Based on our current operating plan, we believe that this funding will be enable us to fund our operations for the next twelve months. Based on our current operating plan, we believe that without additional funding, our existing cash and cash equivalents will enable us to fund our operations for approximately six months. In particular, we need additional funds to allow us to fund Phase II clinical trials for AL001 in Alzheimer’s, BD, MDD and PTSD and to complete the on-going Phase I/IIA clinical trial for ALZN002 to treat mild to moderate dementia of the Alzheimer’s type. However, changing circumstances or inaccurate estimates by us may cause us to use capital significantly faster than we currently anticipate, and we may need to spend more money than currently expected because of circumstances beyond our control. For example, our ongoing clinical trial for ALZN002 or our planned clinical trials for AL001 may encounter technical, enrollment or other issues that could cause our development costs to increase more than we expect. We will not have sufficient funds to complete any of these planned or ongoing clinical trials or the clinical development of either AL001 or ALZN002 through regulatory approval. We will need to raise substantial additional capital to complete the development and commercialization of each of those product candidates, which additional capital, if available on reasonable terms if at all, may be raised through the sale of our common stock or other securities or through the entering into of alternative strategic transactions, or cause our stockholders to incur substantial dilution.
Our future capital requirements will depend on many factors, including:
• | the initiation, progress, timing, costs and results of our planned clinical trials for our product candidates; |
• | the number and scope of indications we decide to pursue for product development; |
• | the cost, timing and outcome of regulatory review of any NDA or BLA we may submit for our product candidates; |
• | the costs and timing of manufacturing for our product candidates, if approved; |
• | the costs of preparing, filing and prosecuting patent applications, maintaining and enforcing our intellectual property rights and defending intellectual property-related claims; |
• | our efforts to enhance operational systems and our ability to attract, hire and retain qualified personnel, including personnel to support the development of our product candidates; |
• | the costs associated with being a public company; |
• | our ability to enter into partnerships or otherwise monetize our pipeline through strategic transactions on a timely basis, on terms that are favorable to us, or at all; |
• | the terms and timing of establishing and maintaining collaborations, licenses and other similar arrangements; |
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• | the extent to which we acquire or in-license other product candidates and technologies; and |
• | the cost associated with commercializing our product candidates, if any are approved for commercial sale. |
Our commercial revenues, if any, will be derived from sales of products that we do not expect to be commercially available for sale for at least the next several years, if ever. Accordingly, we will need to obtain substantial additional funding in connection with our continuing operations. Adequate additional financing may not be available to us on acceptable terms, or at all. In addition, we may seek additional capital due to favorable market conditions or strategic considerations even if we believe we have sufficient funds for our current or future operating plans. If we are unable to raise capital when needed or on attractive terms, we would be forced to delay, reduce or eliminate our research and development programs or other operations.
Our independent registered public accounting firm has expressed substantial doubt about our ability to continue as a going concern.
Our independent registered public accounting firm has issued a going concern opinion on our financial statements for the year ended April 30, 2024, expressing substantial doubt that we can continue as an ongoing business due to insufficient capital for us to fund our operations. Our financial statements do not include any adjustments that may result from the outcome of this uncertainty. If we are unable to successfully raise additional capital, we will need to create and implement alternate operational plans to continue as a going concern, and investors or other financing sources may be unwilling to provide additional funding to us on commercially reasonable terms or at all.
We are at an early stage of clinical development and currently have no source of near-term revenue and may never become profitable.
We are a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company. We have recently initiated clinical trials for our AL001 and ALZN002 programs. To date, we have not initiated or completed a pivotal clinical trial, obtained marketing approval for any product candidates, manufactured a commercial scale product or arranged for a third party to do so on our behalf, or conducted sales and marketing activities necessary for successful product commercialization. Our ability to generate revenue depends heavily on, among other developments:
• | demonstration to the satisfaction of the FDA and comparable regulatory bodies that AL001 and ALZN002 are safe and effective in future clinical trials; |
• | our ability to seek and obtain regulatory approvals, including with respect to the indications we are seeking; |
• | if approved by the FDA, successful manufacture and commercialization of AL001 and ALZN002; and |
• | market acceptance of AL001 and ALZN002. |
We only have two product candidates, AL001 and ALZN002, which will require extensive clinical evaluation, regulatory review and approval, significant marketing efforts and substantial investment before either or both of them, and any respective successors, will provide us with any revenue. As a result, if we do not successfully develop, achieve regulatory approval for and commercialize AL001 or ALZN002, we will be unable to generate any revenue for many years, if at all. We do not anticipate that we will generate revenue for a few years, at the earliest, or that we will achieve profitability for at least several years after generating material revenue, if at all. If we are unable to generate revenue, we will not become profitable, and we may be unable to continue our operations.
We have a limited operating history on which to judge our business prospects and management.
We were incorporated in February 2016 and commenced operations shortly thereafter. We have a limited operating history upon which to base an evaluation of our business and prospects. Operating results for future periods are subject to numerous uncertainties and we cannot assure you that we will achieve or sustain profitability. Our prospects must be considered in light of the risks encountered by companies in the early stage of development, particularly companies in new and rapidly evolving markets. Future operating results will depend upon many factors, including our success in attracting and retaining motivated and qualified personnel, our ability to establish short term credit lines or obtain financing from other sources, our ability to develop and market new products or control costs, and general economic conditions. We cannot assure you that we will successfully address any of these contingencies.
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Risks Related to Our Product Candidates
We have both operational and financial milestones that must be met to maintain the licensing rights to our current technology and intellectual property from the Licensor.
There are certain license fees and milestone payments required to be paid by us to the Licensor, pursuant to the terms of license agreements we have entered into with the Licensor. The license agreements for ALZN002 require us to pay royalty payments of 4% on net sales of products developed from the licensed technology for ALZN002 while the license agreements for AL001 require that we pay combined royalty payments of 4.5% on net sales of products developed from the licensed technology for AL001. We have already paid an initial license fee of $200,000 for ALZN002 and an initial license fee of $200,000 for AL001. As an additional licensing fee for the license of ALZN002, the Licensor received 24,012 shares of our common stock. As an additional licensing fee for the license of the AL001 technologies, the Licensor received 14,853 shares of our common stock. Minimum royalties for AL001 License Agreements are $40,000 on the first anniversary of the first commercial sale, $80,000 on the second anniversary first commercial sale and $100,000 on the third anniversary of the first commercial sale and every year thereafter, for the life of the AL001 License Agreements. Minimum royalties for ALZN002 are $20,000 on the first anniversary of the first commercial sale, $40,000 on the second anniversary first commercial sale and $50,000 on the third anniversary of the first commercial sale and every year thereafter, for the life of the ALZN002 License Agreement. Minimum royalties for November AL001 License Agreements are $40,000 on the first anniversary of the first commercial sale, $80,000 on the second anniversary first commercial sale and $100,000 on the third anniversary of the first commercial sale and every year thereafter, for the life of the November AL001 License Agreements .Additionally, we are required to pay milestone payments on the due dates to the Licensor for the license of the AL001 technologies and for the ALZN002 technology, as follows:
Original AL001 Licenses:
*Milestone met and completed
If we fail to meet a milestone payment by the specified date, the Licensor may terminate the respective license agreement. If the Licensor were to terminate either license agreement for whatever reason, it would materially and adversely affect our business, financial position and future prospects and you would likely lose the entirety of your investment in us.
ALZN002 License:
*Milestone met and completed
Additional AL001 Licenses:
These AL001 License Agreements have an indefinite term that continue until the later of the date no licensed patent under the applicable agreement remains a pending application or enforceable patent, the end date of any period of market exclusivity granted by a governmental regulatory body, or the date on which the licensee’s obligations to pay royalties expire under the applicable license agreement.
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If we fail to comply with our obligations in the agreements under which we license intellectual property and other rights from third parties or otherwise experience disruptions to our business relationships with the Licensor, we could lose license rights that are important to our business.
We are a party to these license agreements with the Licensor and expect to enter into additional license agreements in the future. The existing license agreements impose, and we expect that future license agreements will impose, various diligence, milestone payment, royalty and other obligations on us. If we fail to comply with our obligations under these agreements, or we are subject to a bankruptcy, we may be required to make certain payments to the Licensor, we may lose the exclusivity of our license, or the Licensor may have the right to terminate the license, in which event we would not be able to develop or market products covered by the license. The Licensor or any future licensor may take any of these actions, including terminating a license agreement. Additionally, the milestone and other payments associated with these licenses will make it less profitable for us to develop our product candidates. If the Licensor were to terminate a license agreement for whatever reason, it would materially and adversely affect our business, financial position and future prospects and you would likely lose the entirety of your investment in us.
In some cases, patent prosecution of our licensed technology is controlled solely by the Licensor. If the Licensor fails to obtain and maintain patent or other protection for the proprietary intellectual property we license, we could lose our rights to the intellectual property or our exclusivity with respect to those rights, and our competitors could market competing products using the intellectual property. Licensing of intellectual property is of critical importance to our business and involves complex legal, business and scientific issues. Disputes may arise regarding intellectual property subject to a licensing agreement, including but not limited to:
• | the scope of rights granted under the license agreement and other interpretation-related issues; |
• | the extent to which our technology and processes infringe on intellectual property of the Licensor that is not subject to the licensing agreement; |
• | the sublicensing of patent and other rights; |
• | our diligence obligations under each of the license agreements and what activities satisfy those diligence obligations; |
• | the ownership of inventions and know-how resulting from the joint creation or use of intellectual property by our licensors and us and our collaborators; and |
• | the priority of invention of patented technology. |
If disputes over intellectual property and other rights that we have licensed prevent or impair our ability to maintain our current licensing arrangements on acceptable terms, we may be unable to successfully develop and commercialize the affected product candidates.
We are substantially dependent on the success of our product candidates, which may not receive regulatory approval or be successfully commercialized.
In the future, we plan to submit AL001 and ALZN002 and, potentially, other product candidates for regulatory approval. Currently, however, neither AL001 nor ALZN002 has been submitted for regulatory approval, which would be required before we seek to initiate commercial distribution. To date, we have invested nearly all of our resources in establishing our company, acquiring the intellectual property of our product candidates, AL001 and ALZN002 and conducting certain preclinical studies and clinical trials. Our near-term prospects, including our ability to finance our company and to enter into strategic collaborations and, ultimately, to generate revenue, are directly dependent upon the successful development, FDA approval and commercialization of AL001 or ALZN002.
The development and commercial success of our product will depend on a number of factors, including, without limitation, the following:
• | our timely initiation and successful completion of preclinical studies and clinical trials for AL001 or ALZN002; |
• | our demonstration to the satisfaction of the FDA and comparable regulatory bodies of the safety and efficacy of AL001 or ALZN002, as well as to obtain regulatory and marketing approval for AL001 or ALZN002 in the United States, Europe, the United Kingdom and elsewhere; |
• | our continued compliance with all clinical and regulatory requirements applicable to AL001 and ALZN002; |
• | our maintenance of an acceptable safety profile of AL001 and ALZN002 following regulatory approval; |
• | competition with other treatments; |
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• | our creation, maintenance and protection of our intellectual property portfolio, including patents and trade secrets, and regulatory exclusivity for AL001 and ALZN002; |
• | the effectiveness of our and our eventual partners’ marketing, sales and distribution strategy and operations; |
• | the ability of our third-party manufacturers to manufacture supplies of our product and product candidates and to develop, validate and maintain commercially viable manufacturing processes; |
• | our ability to launch commercial sales of AL001 or ALZN002 following regulatory approval, whether alone or in collaboration with others; and |
• | the acceptance of AL001 and ALZN002 by physicians, health care payers, patients and the medical community. |
Many of these factors are beyond our control, and we cannot assure you that we will ever be able to generate sufficient revenue, or any revenue at all, from the sale of AL001 or ALZN002. Our failure in any of the above factors, or in successfully commercializing AL001 or ALZN002 on a timely basis, could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition, and the value of your investment could substantially decline.
AL001 and ALZN002 may not achieve market acceptance, which would significantly limit our ability to generate revenue.
Even if we develop AL001 or ALZN002 and gain regulatory approvals for either or both candidates, unless physicians and patients accept our product candidates, we may not be able to sell them, whether directly or indirectly, and generate significant revenues. We cannot assure you that AL001, ALZN002 or any other potential product candidates we may eventually develop will achieve market acceptance and revenue if and when they obtain the requisite regulatory approvals. Market acceptance of any product candidate depends on a number of factors, including but not limited to:
• | the indication and warnings approved by regulatory authorities in the product label; |
• | continued demonstration to the FDA of safety and efficacy in commercial use; |
• | physicians’ willingness to prescribe the product; |
• | reimbursement from third-party payers such as government health care systems and insurance companies; |
• | the price of the product; |
• | the nature of any post-approval risk management plans mandated by regulatory authorities; |
• | competition; and |
• | the effectiveness of marketing and distribution support. |
Any failure by AL001 or ALZN002 to achieve market acceptance or commercial success could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Problems in the manufacturing process, failure to comply with manufacturing regulations or unexpected increases in manufacturing costs could harm our business, results of operations and financial condition.
We are responsible for the manufacture and supply of AL001 and ALZN002 independently of each other. The manufacturing of AL001 and ALZN002 necessitates compliance with applicable regulatory requirements of the FDA and the European Union, as well as with international cGMP and other international regulatory requirements. As of the date of this Annual Report, we do not have our own manufacturing facilities. We have contracted with a third-party manufacturer for the clinical supply of AL001 using GMP manufacturing for our planned AL001 clinical trials and plan to contract with established third parties for the long-term commercial production of AL001 and ALZN002. The responsibility to obtain market authorization for AL001 and ALZN002 remains with us. As such, even if we could potentially have a claim against one or more third parties, we are legally liable for any noncompliance related to AL001 and ALZN002 and we expect to retain legal responsibility for any future product candidates as well.
Additionally, we may have limited control over the associated manufacturing costs and potential unexpected increases in those costs over time. If costs increase, we may choose to pass on such costs to our customers, which could reduce our ability to compete by increasing the prices of our products (which we expect to be priced at a significant premium over competing generic products). See “Risks Related to Our Business and Industry — We expect to face substantial competition, with other entities possibly discovering, developing or commercializing products before, or more successfully than, we do.” If we cannot pass on all such costs to our customers, then our profitability would be adversely affected.
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If we are unable to manufacture, or contract to manufacture, AL001 and ALZN002 in accordance with regulatory specifications, or if there are disruptions in the manufacturing process due to damage, loss or failure to meet regulatory requirements (including passing inspections) of manufacturing facilities, we may not be able to meet the demand for our products or supply sufficient product for use in clinical trials, and this may harm our ability to commercialize AL001 and ALZN002 on a timely or cost-competitive basis, or preclude us from doing so at all, which could harm our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Before we or any future commercial partners can begin commercial manufacture of AL001 and ALZN002 or any other product candidate that we may develop in the future, we must obtain FDA regulatory approval for the product, which requires a successful FDA inspection of our manufacturing facilities (or those we contract with) and the development of quality systems, among other requirements. Even if we successfully pass an FDA Pre-Approval Inspection of any manufacturing facilities we may establish or contract with, our pharmaceutical facilities would be subject to unannounced inspection by the FDA and foreign regulatory authorities to ensure ongoing manufacturing compliance, even after product approval. Due to the complexity of the processes that we anticipate will eventually be used to manufacture AL001 and ALZN002, we may be unable to pass federal, state or international regulatory inspections in a cost-effective manner, whether initially or at any time thereafter. If we are unable to comply with manufacturing regulations, we may be subject to fines, unanticipated compliance expenses, recall or seizure of any approved products, or legal actions such as injunctions or criminal or civil prosecution. These possible sanctions could materially and adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition. See also “Risks Related to Development and Regulatory Approval of Our Product.” The regulatory approval process is uncertain, requires us to utilize significant financial, physical and human resources, and may prevent us or our future commercial partners from obtaining approvals for the commercialization of some or all of our product candidates.
Serious adverse events or other safety risks could require us to abandon development and preclude, delay or limit approval of AL001 or ALZN002, or limit the scope of any approved label or market acceptance.
If AL001, ALZN002 or any other product candidate that we may develop in the future, prior to or after any approval for commercial sale, causes serious or unexpected side effects, or become associated with other safety risks such as misuse, abuse or diversion, a number of potentially significant negative consequences could result, including, without limitation, that:
• | regulatory authorities may interrupt, delay or halt clinical trials; |
• | regulatory authorities may deny regulatory approval of AL001 or ALZN002; |
• | regulatory authorities may require certain labeling statements, such as warnings or contraindications or limitations on the indications for use, or impose restrictions on distribution in the form of REMS in connection with approval, if any; |
• | regulatory authorities may withdraw their approval, require more onerous labeling statements or impose a more restrictive REMS of any product that is approved; |
• | we may be required to change the way the product is administered or conduct additional clinical trials; |
• | any relationships that we may be able to form in the future with any commercial partners may suffer; |
• | we could be sued and held liable for harm caused to patients; and |
• | our reputation may suffer. |
We may voluntarily suspend or terminate our clinical trials if at any time we believe that they present an unacceptable risk to participants or if preliminary data demonstrate that either AL001 or ALZN002 is unlikely to receive regulatory approval or is unlikely to be successfully commercialized. In addition, regulatory agencies, an Ethics Committee or Institutional Review Board (an “IRB”), or data safety monitoring boards may at any time recommend the temporary or permanent discontinuation of our clinical trials or request that we cease using investigators in the clinical trials if they believe that the clinical trials are not being conducted in accordance with applicable regulatory requirements, or that they present an unacceptable safety risk to participants. If we elect or are forced to suspend or terminate a clinical trial of AL001, ALZN002 or any other product candidate that we may in the future develop, the commercial prospects for that product will be harmed and our ability to generate product revenue from that product may be delayed or eliminated. Furthermore, any of these events could prevent us or our partners from achieving or maintaining market acceptance of the affected product and could substantially increase the costs of commercializing AL001 or ALZN002 and materially impair our ability to generate revenue from the commercialization of AL001 or ALZN002 either by us or by any future commercial partners with which we may develop a relationship, which and could have a material adverse effect on our reputation, business, results of operations and financial condition.
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If we fail to obtain and sustain an adequate level of reimbursement for our products by third-party payers, sales and profitability will be adversely affected.
The course of medical treatment for human patients is, and will continue to be, expensive. We expect that most patients and their families will not be capable of paying for our potential products themselves.
Accordingly, it is unlikely that there will be a commercially viable market for AL001 or ALZN002, if approved, without reimbursement and coverage from third-party payers. Obtaining reimbursement approval and coverage from third-party payers is a time consuming and expensive process, and we cannot be certain that reimbursement will be approved and coverage obtained for our current product candidates or any other product candidate we may develop. Additionally, even if there is some form of reimbursement and coverage from third-party payers, if the level of third-party reimbursement is insufficient from the patient’s perspective or coverage is limited, our revenue and gross margins will be materially and adversely affected.
A current trend in the U.S. health care industry, as well as in other countries around the world, is toward cost containment. Large public and private payers, managed care organizations, group purchasing organizations and similar organizations are exerting increasing influence on decisions regarding the use of, and reimbursement levels for, particular treatments. Third-party payers, such as government programs, including Medicare in the United States, and private health care insurers, carefully review and have increasingly been challenging the coverage of, and prices charged for, medical products and services. Many third-party payers limit coverage of or reimbursement for newly-approved health care products. Reimbursement rates and coverage from private health insurance companies vary depending on the company, the insurance plan and other factors. Cost-control initiatives could decrease the price we or our partners establish for products, which could result in lower product revenue and profitability.
Reimbursement systems in international markets vary significantly by country and by region, and reimbursement approvals must be obtained on a country-by-country basis. Our eventual partners may elect to reduce the price of our products in order to increase the likelihood of obtaining reimbursement approvals. In many countries, products cannot be commercially launched until reimbursement is approved and the negotiation process in some countries can exceed 12 months. In addition, pricing and reimbursement decisions in certain countries can be affected by decisions taken in other countries, which can lead to mandatory price reductions and/or additional reimbursement restrictions across a number of other countries, which may adversely affect our sales and profitability. If countries set prices that are not sufficient to allow us or our partners to generate a profit, our partners may refuse to launch the product in such countries or withdraw the product from the market, which would adversely affect our sales and profitability and could materially and adversely affect our business, results of operations and financial condition.
Risks Related to Development and Regulatory Approval of Our Drug Candidates
The regulatory approval process is uncertain, requires us to utilize significant resources, and may prevent us or our future commercial partners from obtaining approvals for the commercialization of AL001 or ALZN002.
The research, testing, manufacturing, labeling, approval, sale, marketing and testing of AL001 and ALZN002 are and will be subject to extensive regulation by regulatory authorities in the United States, Europe and elsewhere, and regulatory requirements applicable to our product differ from country to country. Neither we nor any commercial partner will be permitted to market any of our current or future product candidates in the United States until we receive approval from the FDA of either a NDA or BLA for AL001 and ALZN002, respectively. Obtaining approval of an NDA or a BLA is an uncertain process that requires us to utilize significant resources. Furthermore, regulatory authorities possess broad discretion regarding processing time and usually request additional information and raise questions which have to be answered. There is considerable uncertainty regarding the times at which products may be approved and we have no control over the FDA review process. In addition, failure to comply with FDA and other applicable U.S. and foreign regulatory requirements may subject us to administrative or judicially imposed sanctions, including: warning letters, civil and criminal penalties, injunctions, withdrawal of approved products from the market, product seizure or detention, product recalls, total or partial suspension of production, and refusal to approve pending applications or supplements to approved applications.
Even if we fully comply with all applicable laws and regulations, the FDA may still determine that our clinical data are insufficient for final approval of an NDA or BLA. The process required by the FDA and most foreign regulatory authorities before human health care pharmaceuticals may be marketed generally involves nonclinical laboratory and, in some cases, animal tests; submission of an IND, which must become effective before clinical trials may begin; adequate and well-controlled human clinical trials to establish the safety and efficacy of the proposed drug for its intended use or uses; pre-approval inspection of manufacturing facilities and clinical trial sites; and FDA approval of an NDA or BLA, which must occur before a drug can be marketed or sold.
Regulatory approval of an NDA or BLA, or any supplement thereof, is not guaranteed, and the approval process requires us to utilize significant resources, could take several years, and is subject to the substantial discretion of the FDA. Despite the time and expense exerted, failure can occur at any stage, and we could encounter problems that cause us to abandon or have to repeat or perform additional studies. If our product or any of our future product candidates fails to demonstrate safety and efficacy in our studies, or for any other reason does not gain regulatory approval, our business and results of operations will be materially and adversely harmed.
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In addition, separate regulatory approvals are required in order to market any product in many jurisdictions, including the United States, the United Kingdom, European Economic Area, which consists of the 27 Member States (known as the “EU Member States”) of the European Union plus Norway, Iceland and Liechtenstein, and others. Approval procedures vary among countries and can involve additional studies and testing, and the time required to obtain approval may differ from that required to obtain FDA approval. Studies conducted in one country may not be accepted by regulatory authorities in other countries. Approval by the FDA does not ensure approval by regulatory authorities in other countries, and approval by one or more foreign regulatory authorities does not ensure approval by regulatory authorities in other foreign countries or by the FDA. However, a failure or delay in obtaining regulatory approval in one country may have a negative effect on the regulatory process in others. The foreign regulatory approval process may include all of the risks associated with obtaining FDA approval. We may be unable to file for regulatory approvals or do so on a timely basis and, even if we are able to, we may not receive necessary approvals to commercialize our products in any market. Any of these results could have a material adverse effect on our business, results of operations and financial condition.
There is a high rate of failure for drug candidates proceeding through clinical trials.
Generally speaking, there is a high rate of failure for drug candidates proceeding through clinical trials. We may suffer significant setbacks in our clinical trials similar to the experience of a number of other companies in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries, even after receiving promising results in earlier trials. Further, even if we view the results of a clinical trial to be positive, the FDA or other regulatory authorities may disagree with our interpretation of the data. For instance, any such differing interpretation could cause the FDA to require additional trials. In the event that:
(i) | we obtain negative or inconclusive results from the AL001 or ALZN002 from a clinical trial; |
(ii) | the FDA places a clinical hold on our clinical trials due to potential chemistry, manufacturing and controls issues or other hurdles; or |
(iii) | the FDA does not approve our NDA for AL001 or our BLA for ALZN002, then: |
• | we may not be able to generate sufficient revenue or obtain financing to continue our operations; |
• | our ability to execute our current business plan will be materially impaired; |
• | our reputation in the industry and in the investment community would likely be significantly damaged; and |
• | the price of our common stock would likely decrease significantly. |
Any of these results could materially and adversely affect our business, results of operations or financial condition.
Most attempts at drug approval for Alzheimer’s have failed.
Despite billions of dollars invested by the NIH and the biopharmaceutical industry in research programs to develop novel therapeutics for Alzheimer’s, the FDA has only approved three new drugs for Alzheimer’s since 2003; in June 2021, aducanumab (Biogen, Inc) received approval from the FDA for the treatment of Alzheimer’s using the accelerated approval pathway; in July 2023, Leqembi (Eisai) received full approval by the FDA for treatment of Alzheimer’s; and in July 2024, Kisunla (Eli Lilly) received full approval by the FDA for treatment of Alzheimer’s. Since 2003, many new types and classes of drugs have been developed and tested in Alzheimer’s, including monoclonal antibodies, gamma secretase modulators and inhibitors, β-site amyloid precursor protein cleaving enzyme inhibitors, receptor for advanced glycation end-products inhibitors, nicotinic partial agonists and allosteric modulators, serotonin subtype receptor antagonists, and others. Except for Biogen’s, Eisai’s and Eli Lilly’s approvals, referred to above, virtually all of these scientific programs have failed in clinical testing. Except for Biogen’s and Eisai’s approvals, referred to above, virtually all of these scientific programs have failed in clinical testing.
Clinical trials for AL001 or ALZN002 can be expensive, time consuming, uncertain and susceptible to change, delay or termination.
Clinical trials are expensive, time consuming and difficult to design and implement. The result of a clinical trial may be undesirable and can result in a clinical trial cancellation or the need for re-evaluation and supplementation. Even if the results of our clinical trials are favorable, the clinical trials for AL001 or ALZN002 are expected to continue for a few years and may even take significantly longer to complete. In addition, we, the FDA, an IRB, or other regulatory authority, whether in the United States, European Union or elsewhere, may suspend, delay or terminate our clinical trials at any time, for various reasons, including, without limitation:
• | lack of effectiveness of AL001 or ALZN002 during clinical trials; |
• | discovery of serious or unexpected toxicities or side effects experienced by trial participants or other safety issues; |
• | slower than expected rates of subject recruitment and enrollment rates in clinical trials; |
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• | difficulty in retaining subjects who have initiated a clinical trial but may have withdrawn due to adverse side effects from the therapy, insufficient efficacy, fatigue with the clinical trial process or for any other reason; |
• | delays or inability in manufacturing or obtaining sufficient quantities of materials for use in clinical trials due to manufacturing or regulatory constraints; |
• | inadequacy of or changes in our manufacturing process or product formulation; |
• | delays in obtaining regulatory authorization to commence a trial, including experiencing “clinical holds” or delays requiring suspension or termination of a trial by a regulatory agency, such as the FDA, before or after a trial is commenced; |
• | changes in applicable regulatory policies and regulations; |
• | delays or failure in reaching agreement on acceptable terms in clinical trial contracts or protocols with prospective clinical trial sites; |
• | delay or failure to supply product for use in clinical trials which conforms to regulatory specification; |
• | unfavorable results from ongoing preclinical studies and clinical trials; |