Risk Factors Dashboard
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Risk Factors - SIGA
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This report contains forward-looking statements and other prospective information relating to future events. These forward-looking statements and other information are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause our actual results to differ materially from our historical results or currently anticipated results, including the following:
Risks Related to Our Dependence on Government Contracts
We expect a substantial percentage of our future operating revenues to come from contracts with the U.S. Government for the provision and maintenance of the stockpile of TPOXX® built under the 19C BARDA Contract. If the U.S. Government does not enter into such a contract, or if such contract is materially delayed or smaller than the 19C BARDA Contract, our long-term business, financial condition and operating results could be materially harmed.
The success of our business and our operating results for the foreseeable future will be substantially dependent on the U.S. Government’s commitment to maintaining or expanding its stockpile of TPOXX®. Failure to secure in a timely manner and perform additional U.S. Government contracts after the 19C BARDA Contract to substantially maintain or expand the U.S. Government stockpile of TPOXX® could have a material adverse effect on our long-term business, financial condition, results of operations, including losses due to potential inventory write-offs, and prospects. Additionally, the 19C BARDA Contract does not necessarily increase the likelihood that we will secure future comparable contracts with the U.S. Government.
Government contracts require ongoing funding decisions by governments. A substantial percentage of our potential future revenues are expected to come from government contracts. The majority of potential revenue under any future U.S. Government contract will likely be tied to options that may or may not be exercised at the sole discretion of the U.S. Government. Failure of the U.S. Government to exercise its options under a new procurement contract to supply TPOXX® to the U.S. Government could cause our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects to be materially harmed.
Government-funded contracts often consist of standalone procurement orders or a base period of performance followed by options for the performance of certain future activities. The value of goods and services subject to options may constitute the majority of the total value of the underlying contract, as in the case of the 19C BARDA Contract as well as any new contract to continue supplying TPOXX® to the U.S. Government.
The funding of government programs, which fund BARDA’s purchases under the 19C BARDA Contract and are expected to fund any new contract to supply TPOXX® to the U.S. Government, is subject to Congressional appropriations, generally made on a fiscal year basis even though a program may continue for several years. Our government customers are subject to political considerations and budgetary constraints, which result in uncertainties as to continued funding of their ongoing programs, including SIGA’s contracts.
As of December 31, 2025, all of the options to which most of the contract value of the 19C BARDA Contract is tied have been exercised. There is no guarantee that we will be able to enter into a new contract to supply TPOXX® to the U.S. Government, or if we do, whether the U.S. Government will exercise its options under such new procurement agreement. If the U.S. Government fails to exercise its options under such new procurement agreement, if any, our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects may suffer materially.
Government procurement contracts are mostly set at fixed prices determined at inception of the contract based on estimates of the time, resources and expenses required to perform these contracts. If our estimates are not accurate, we may not be able to earn an adequate return or may incur a loss under these arrangements.
Previously exercised options under our government procurement contracts, including the 19C BARDA Contract, were predominately fixed price. We expect that any future contracts with the U.S. Government and foreign governments for TPOXX®, as well as contracts for other biodefense product candidates, would also be predominantly fixed-price arrangements with potential moderate annual increases. Under a fixed-price contract, we are required to deliver our products at a fixed price determined at the inception of the contract regardless of the actual costs we incur, and to absorb any costs incurred in satisfaction of our obligations. Our failure to secure financial terms, including price, generally consistent with our prior agreements, anticipate significant technical problems, estimate costs accurately or control costs during performance of a fixed-price contract could reduce the profitability of such contract, or if severe, cause a loss, which could in turn negatively affect our operating results.
Laws and regulations affecting government contracts and grants might make it more costly and difficult for us to successfully conduct our business.
Our business with the U.S. Government, international governments, and any future business with state and local governmental agencies is subject to specific procurement regulations and a variety of other legal and compliance obligations. These laws and rules include those related to procurement integrity, rates and pricing of services and goods to be reimbursed by the U.S. Government, export control, government security regulations, employment practices, protection of the environment, accuracy of records and the recording and reporting of costs, and foreign corrupt practices. Among the most significant government contracting regulations that affect our business are:
| • | the Federal Acquisition Regulation and other agency-specific regulations supplemental to the Federal Acquisition Regulation, which comprehensively regulate the procurement, formation, administration and performance of U.S. Government contracts; |
| • | the business ethics and public integrity obligations that govern conflicts of interest and the hiring of former government employees, restrict the granting of gratuities and funding of lobbying activities and incorporate other requirements such as the Anti-Kickback Act and the Foreign Corrupt Practices Act ("FCPA"); and |
| • | export and import control laws and regulations, including laws, regulations and executive orders restricting the use and dissemination of information classified for national security purposes and the exportation of certain products and technical data. |
Compliance with these obligations increases our performance and compliance costs. Failure to comply with these regulations and requirements could lead to suspension or debarment, for cause, from government contracting or subcontracting for a period of time and could result in significant civil or criminal penalties. The termination of a government contract as a result of our failure to satisfy any of these obligations would have a material negative impact on our operations and harm our reputation and ability to procure other government contracts or grants in the future.
Unfavorable provisions in government contracts and grants, some of which may be customary, may harm our future business, financial condition and potential operating results.
Government contracts and grants customarily contain provisions that give the government substantial rights and remedies, many of which are not typically found in commercial contracts, including (but not limited to) provisions that allow the government to:
| • | terminate existing contracts or grants, in whole or in part, for any reason or no reason; |
| • | unilaterally reduce or modify grants, contracts or subcontracts, including through the use of equitable price adjustments; |
| • | cancel multi-year contracts or grants and related orders if funds for performance for any subsequent year become unavailable; |
| • | decline to exercise an option to renew, or to exercise the maximum amount specified in, a contract or grant; |
| • | claim rights to products or assets, including intellectual property, developed under a contract or grant; |
| • | take actions that result in a longer development timeline or higher costs than expected; |
| • | suspend or debar a contractor from doing business with the government or a specific government agency due to regulatory or compliance failures; |
| • | pursue criminal or civil remedies under the False Claims Act and the False Statements Accountability Act; and |
| • | control or prohibit the export of products. |
Generally, government contracts, including the 19C BARDA Contract, contain provisions permitting unilateral termination or modification, in whole or in part, at the government’s convenience. Under general principles of government contracting law, if the government terminates a contract or grant for convenience, the terminated company may recover only its incurred or committed costs, settlement expenses and profit on work completed prior to the termination. If the government terminates a contract or grant for default, the defaulting company is entitled to recover costs incurred and associated profits on accepted items only and may be liable for excess costs incurred by the government in procuring undelivered items from another source. Our government contracts and grants could be terminated under these circumstances.
A U.S. Government shutdown could materially adversely affect our business, results of operations, and financial condition.
Each year, the U.S. Congress must pass all spending bills in the federal budget. If any such spending bill is not timely passed, a government shutdown may close many federally run operations, and halt work for federal employees unless they are considered essential or such work is separately funded by a continuing resolution or by industry.
A significant portion of our revenue is derived from contracts with U.S. federal agencies. The U.S. continues to face a changing geopolitical environment, along with certain fiscal and economic challenges, and uncertainty exists regarding how future budget and program decisions will unfold. During periods of federal government shutdowns, many government agencies and contracting offices cease operations or operate at reduced capacity. These shutdowns may delay funding decisions, new contract awards, contract modifications, and may result in the suspension of ongoing work under existing contracts.
In the event of a prolonged shutdown, we may experience delays in securing new procurement contracts, which could result in reduced revenue. Even after government operations resume, it may take additional time for normal contracting activities to resume.
Government shutdowns can also create uncertainty in federal budgeting and procurement priorities, which could reduce future opportunities for our products. The timing and duration of any shutdown are unpredictable, and we cannot estimate the ultimate effect on our business. Any prolonged or repeated shutdowns could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition, results of operations, and ability to execute our strategic objectives.
Our business could be adversely affected by a negative audit by the U.S. Government.
U.S. Government agencies, such as the Defense Contract Audit Agency (the “DCAA”), routinely audit and investigate government contractors. These agencies review a contractor’s performance under its contracts and grants, cost structure, and compliance with applicable laws, regulations and standards.
The DCAA also reviews the adequacy of, and a contractor’s compliance with, its internal control systems and policies, including the contractor’s purchasing, property, estimating, compensation and management information systems. Any cost found to be improperly allocated to a specific contract will not be reimbursed, and such costs already reimbursed must be refunded. If an audit uncovers improper or illegal activities, a contractor may be subject to civil and criminal penalties and administrative sanctions, including termination of contracts, forfeiture of profits, suspension of payments, fines and suspension, debarment or prohibition from doing business with the U.S. Government. Such actions could materially damage our business and could also negatively affect our reputation.
Risks Related to Regulatory Approvals
If we are not able to obtain regulatory approvals for certain additional indications of TPOXX® from the FDA, we may not be able to realize the full benefits of any U.S. Government contracts or may not be able to commercialize such indications other than through existing sales to the U.S. Government, and our ability to generate future revenue could be materially impaired.
The development and commercialization of additional indications for TPOXX® in the U.S., such as use for smallpox post-exposure prophylaxis ("PEP"), including the testing, manufacture, safety, efficacy, recordkeeping, labeling, storage, approval, advertising, promotion, sale and distribution, are subject to comprehensive regulation by the FDA and other regulatory agencies in the United States and by comparable authorities in other countries and jurisdictions. We could fail to achieve FDA or other regulatory approval of certain indications of TPOXX®, or there could be delays in such approval of TPOXX®, or the approved labeling for such indications of TPOXX® may differ from expectations. For example, in connection with a potential FDA label expansion of oral TPOXX® for an indication covering PEP, we completed an immunogenicity trial in 2023 and originally targeted a supplemental NDA submission in 2024. Because samples from that trial are being reanalyzed by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention which has been impacted by recent U.S. Government shutdowns, the Company is now targeting a supplemental NDA submission within the next twelve months.
Failure to obtain regulatory approval of the PEP indication may prevent us from getting procurement orders from the U.S. Government for the post-exposure prophylaxis indication and may impact other regulatory authorities' future review of other indications of TPOXX®, which in turn, could adversely impact potential sales of TPOXX® in other countries, and such delays or required alterations to regulatory applications could also have a material adverse effect on our future revenue opportunities.
Failure to obtain regulatory approval for new formulations of TPOXX® in the U.S. would prevent us from commercializing TPOXX® in other than the oral and intravenous formulations for smallpox treatment.
We have received FDA approval for the oral and intravenous formulations of TPOXX® in the U.S. for the treatment of smallpox. We have not received FDA approval for the liquid suspension/pediatric formulation or any other formulation of TPOXX®. Because pharmaceutical manufacturers are only permitted to commercialize in the U.S. formulations that have received FDA approval (or in other jurisdictions according to their applicable regulatory and legal frameworks), any regulatory or legal setbacks as described above could have an adverse impact on our ability to sell TPOXX® in other formulations.
Failure to maintain existing regulatory approvals or obtain future regulatory approvals in additional international jurisdictions could prevent us from marketing our products in certain jurisdictions abroad.
To market our products in certain foreign jurisdictions, we need to maintain existing regulatory approvals or may need to obtain additional regulatory approvals and comply with numerous and varying regulatory requirements. The approval procedures vary among countries and can involve additional testing and differing manufacturing or labeling requirements. The approval procedure varies among countries and can involve additional testing and differing manufacturing or labeling requirements. Coming into compliance with and maintaining compliance with such requirements may take substantial time, including prior to approval, and delay commercial activities in those jurisdictions.
The foreign regulatory approval process may include all of the risks associated with obtaining FDA approval for expanded indications or new formulations of TPOXX®. We may be unable to maintain existing regulatory approvals or may not be successful in obtaining additional foreign regulatory approvals on a timely basis, if at all. Regulatory approval by the FDA, which we obtained for oral and IV TPOXX®, and by Health Canada, for oral TPOXX®, in each case for the treatment of smallpox, or by additional foreign regulatory authorities such as European Medicines Agency (EMA), the Japanese Pharmaceuticals and Medical Devices Agency, and the U.K. Medicines and Healthcare Products Regulatory Agency (MHRA), which we obtained for oral TPOXX® for the treatment of smallpox, monkeypox ("mpox"), cowpox, and vaccinia complications following vaccination against smallpox, does not ensure continued approval in those jurisdictions or approval by additional regulatory authorities in other foreign countries or jurisdictions or by the FDA for additional indications or new formulations.
The EMA and MHRA approved TPOXX® under “exceptional circumstances” under the brand name Tecovirimat-SIGA. These regulators granted marketing authorizations under “exceptional circumstances” because it was not possible to obtain complete efficacy and safety information about the product due to the rarity of smallpox and other orthopoxviruses and because ethical considerations prevented conducting the necessary clinical studies. The Tecovirimat-SIGA marketing authorizations under “exceptional circumstances” are subject to certain specific obligations to gather additional data post-approval to help confirm the product’s safety and efficacy. All “exceptional circumstances” marketing authorizations are subject to annual reassessments that consider whether data generated pursuant to the specific obligations continue to confirm its positive benefit-risk profile. These annual reassessments determine whether the product’s marketing authorization should be maintained, changed, suspended, or withdrawn based on its benefit-risk profile.
On July 24, 2025, the EMA’s Committee for Medicinal Products for Human Use (CHMP) closed its third annual reassessment for Tecovirimat-SIGA and initiated a referral procedure for the product following questions over its effectiveness in the treatment of mpox. These questions were raised following receipt of results from certain non-SIGA sponsored clinical trials evaluating tecovirimat as a potential mpox treatment including the PALM007 and STOMP clinical trials. In the referral procedure, CHMP reviewed all available data on the safety and efficacy of Tecovirimat-SIGA for all its authorized indications in order to make a recommendation to the European Commission whether the marketing authorization should be maintained, modified, suspended or withdrawn. The CHMP is expected to meet in March to issue its recommendation. We expect the CHMP will confirm the positive benefit-risk balance of Tecovirimat-SIGA as a treatment for smallpox, cowpox, and vaccinia complications, and maintain those indications in the product label. Regarding mpox, based on the results of the mpox clinical trials, we expect the CHMP will recommend withdrawal of the mpox indication. In the UK, Tecovirimat-SIGA is undergoing an annual reassessment by the MHRA. This reassessment, which is ongoing, is substantially similar to the EMA’s annual reassessment process and could result in a similar outcome.
If the CHMP recommends withdrawal of the mpox indication, and European Commission adopts the recommendation of the CHMP, it could negatively impact our anticipated revenue from Tecovirimat-SIGA and could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and growth prospects.
In addition, failure to obtain or maintain approval in one jurisdiction may impact our ability to obtain approvals elsewhere. We may not be able to maintain existing approvals or may be unable to file for or receive necessary regulatory approvals to commercialize our products in new markets, in which case, our addressable market may be reduced and our ability to realize the full potential of our products and product candidates may be harmed and our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects may be adversely affected. We may not be able to file for or receive necessary regulatory approvals to commercialize our products in new markets, in which case, our addressable market may be reduced and our ability to realize the full potential of our products and product candidates may be harmed and our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects may be adversely affected.
Risks Related to Commercial and International Activities
Changing political or social factors and opposition, such as protests and potential related litigation, may delay or impair our ability to market TPOXX® and any other biodefense product candidates and may require us to spend time and money to address these issues.
Products developed to treat diseases caused by or to combat the threat of bioterrorism or biowarfare are subject to changing political and social environments. The political and social responses to bioterrorism and biowarfare have been unpredictable and much debated. Changes in political leadership, such as the latest change in the U.S. Presidential administration, as well as changes in the perception of the risk that military personnel or civilians could be exposed to biological agents as weapons of bioterrorism or biowarfare may delay or cause resistance to bringing investigational products to market or limit pricing or purchases of approved products, any of which could materially harm our business.
Lawsuits, protests or other negative publicity may adversely affect the degree of market acceptance of, and thereby limit the demand for, TPOXX® and any biodefense product candidates. In such event, our ability to market and sell such products may be hindered, the commercial success of TPOXX® and other products we develop may be harmed and we may need to expend time, attention and resources addressing such legal or publicity issues, thereby reducing our revenues and having a material adverse impact on our business.
Our ability to grow our business partly depends on our ability to achieve recurring sales of TPOXX® to customers other than the U.S. Government, which may increase our exposure to risks associated with conducting business in international markets.
An element of our business strategy is to sell TPOXX® internationally to foreign governments on a recurring basis. These non-U.S. Government customers include foreign governments, as well as state and local governments, non-governmental organizations focused on global health like the World Health Organization, health care institutions like hospitals (domestic and foreign) and certain large business organizations interested in protecting their employees against global threats and protecting first responders in cases of emergencies.
If we fail to obtain recurring sales of TPOXX® to customers other than the U.S. Government, our business and opportunities for growth could be limited.
In addition, the expansion of our international presence may increase certain risks, which include:
| • | foreign governments imposing withholding or other taxes on remittances and other payments to us or the amount of any such taxes may increase; |
| • | potential difficulties enforcing agreements, making product deliveries, satisfying product and process requirements of non-U.S. jurisdictions, collecting receivables and protecting our intellectual property and other assets; |
| • | regional safety and security considerations; |
| • | increased costs and risks and uncertainties relating to exportation, shipping and transportation of our products, including the impact of any trade disputes or other trade barriers, such as the imposition and enforceability of new or increased tariffs, any retaliatory actions taken by counties impacted by such tariffs and uncertainties regarding the ability to obtain refunds for previously paid tariffs that have subsequently been invalidated; and |
| • | increased management and infrastructure costs. |
See the risk factor below titled “The Company is subject to complex and changing laws and regulations worldwide, which exposes the Company to potential liability, increased cost, and other adverse effects on the Company’s business” for more discussion of this risk. We cannot predict the ultimate impact such events might have on the Company’s business, financial condition and results of operations.
We reacquired international promotional rights and we may be unable successfully to expand our internal international sales and marketing capabilities or enter into agreements with third parties outside of the U.S.
Pursuant to the International Promotion Agreement described under “Business,” we previously granted a third party, Meridian Medical Technologies ("Meridian") exclusive rights to market, advertise, promote, offer for sale, or sell oral TPOXX® in all geographic regions except for the United States (the “Territory”). In June 2024, we reacquired international promotional rights from Meridian. Our ability to maintain existing international customer relationships and contracts as well as generate future international relationships and contracts will depend on our ability to identify, hire and train qualified personnel. At present, we continue to adjust the staffing and key focal points of the international marketing organization; as such, the build out of the international marketing organization is subject to additional refinements and adjustments.
For contracts with international customers that were originated by Meridian in prior years and remain active, we are reliant on Meridian to collect payments from such customers, and to remit to us our share of such payments.
Under the terms of the Amended International Promotion Agreement, Meridian remains responsible for collecting payments from customers under certain legacy contracts and remitting such payments to us on a quarterly basis. As a result, we rely on Meridian’s ability to collect and remit payment to us in a timely manner. Meridian could fail to perform such obligations adequately, cease operations abruptly or become insolvent, or our relationships with Meridian may otherwise change adversely. Any of the foregoing could adversely impact our business, financial condition and operating results as a result.
Although TPOXX® is currently stockpiled by certain governments and not sold commercially, in the future we may be required to perform additional clinical trials or change the labeling of TPOXX® if we or others identify side effects after a product is on the market, which could harm future sales of such product.
If we or others identify side effects of any approved product, or if manufacturing problems occur:
| • | regulatory approval may be withdrawn; |
| • | reformulation of our products, additional clinical trials or other testing or changes in labeling of our products may be required; |
| • | changes to or re-approvals of manufacturing facilities we use may be required; |
| • | sales of the affected products may drop significantly; |
| • | our reputation in the marketplace may suffer; and |
| • | lawsuits, including class action suits, may be brought against us. |
Any of the above occurrences could harm or prevent future sales of the affected product or could increase the costs and expenses of commercializing and marketing these products, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
We are subject to complex and changing laws and regulations worldwide, which exposes us to potential liability, increased cost, and other adverse effects on our business.
Some laws and regulations governing our business, including the FCPA and many other global anti-corruption laws, may hold us liable for the actions of our employees as well as those of our third-party partners. Although we have implemented policies and procedures designed to ensure compliance with applicable laws and regulations, there can be no assurance our employees, contractors, third parties or agents will not violate such laws and regulations or our policies and procedures. Although the Company has implemented policies and procedures designed to ensure compliance with applicable laws and regulations, there can be no assurance the Company’s employees, contractors, third parties or agents will not violate such laws and regulations or the Company’s policies and procedures.
Failure to comply with such laws and regulations could adversely affect our business, reputation, financial condition, or ability to procure government contracts. Indeed, violations of the FCPA can result in significant civil and criminal penalties that can be levied on us and its executives. Indictment alone under the FCPA can lead to suspension of the right to do business with the U.S. Government until the pending claims are resolved and conviction under the FCPA can result in long-term disqualification as a government contractor. The SEC may also suspend or bar issuers from trading securities on U.S. stock exchanges for violations of the FCPA.
We have incurred in the past, and could incur net losses in the future, including if we fail to enter into a new procurement contract with the U.S. Government.
While we believe our current cash position is strong, our ability to continue to fund future operations will be substantially impacted by potential cash flows from any new procurement contract with the U.S. Government. If we fail to enter into a new U.S. Government procurement contract or cash flows from such procurement contract are significantly delayed or significantly different from expectations, or if operating expenses or other expenses meaningfully exceed our expectations or cannot be adjusted accordingly, then our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects could be materially adversely affected.
Risks Related to Manufacturing, Storage and Our Dependence on Third Parties
We currently rely on third parties for manufacturing and raw materials of TPOXX® and for managing our inventory. If these third parties do not perform as contractually required or as we expect, and we are unable to find an alternative third party to provide these services, we may not be able to successfully satisfy our obligations under any contracts, including the 19C BARDA Contract and any future U.S. Government procurement contract, and our business would suffer.
We currently rely on third-party manufacturers and service providers to provide raw materials and manufacture, package, test and ship TPOXX®. Under the 19C BARDA Contract, we are responsible for the performance of these third-party contractors, and our contracts with these third parties give us certain supervisory and quality control rights, but we do not exercise day-to-day control over their activities.
If a third-party provider fails to comply with applicable laws and regulations, fails to meet expected deadlines, fails to conduct trials in accordance with regulatory requirements or our stated protocols, experiences shortages or delays, or otherwise does not carry out its contractual duties to us, or encounters physical damage or natural disaster or disruptions at its facilities, our ability to meet our obligations under any contract including the 19C BARDA Contract or any future U.S. Government procurement contract, or to develop, obtain approval of and commercialization of other indications of TPOXX® or other drug candidates, could be significantly impaired or delayed. We do not currently have the internal capacity to perform these important functions, must contract with alternative third parties if our existing third-party providers are unable to fulfill their contractual duties, and may not be able to maintain commercial arrangements for these services on reasonable terms. Debt financing arrangements, if available, may require us to pledge certain assets or enter into covenants that could restrict our business activities or our ability to incur further indebtedness and may be at interest rates and contain other terms that are not favorable to our stockholders.
In addition, the facilities used by our third-party manufacturers must be approved by the FDA and comparable foreign regulatory authorities. If our third-party manufacturers including any we contract with in the future, cannot successfully manufacture material that conforms to our specifications and the strict regulatory requirements of the FDA or others, they will not be able to secure or maintain regulatory approval for their manufacturing facilities. If the FDA or a comparable foreign regulatory authority does not approve the facility of a third-party manufacturer for the manufacture of TPOXX®, or if it withdraws any such approval in the future, it may significantly impact our ability to commercialize TPOXX®.
For example, Patheon, the manufacturer for IV TPOXX®, notified us that it will be closing the manufacturing line on which it manufactures IV TPOXX® in 2026. We have contracted with an alternative third-party manufacturer and are in the process of transferring the manufacturing process for IV TPOXX® to such third party. This manufacturing process is complex, and it may take significant time and resources to complete the transfer. In addition, upon completion, the third-party’s manufacturing facility will need to obtain FDA approval for the manufacture of IV TPOXX®. Failure to timely complete the transfer of the manufacturing process or to obtain FDA approval for the third-party manufacturing facility could hinder our ability to meet contractual obligations for IV TPOXX® and could cause material adverse consequences for our business.
If third parties on whom we rely for packaging and delivery of our products, are unable to meet the target timing for deliveries to our customers, product revenue recognition may be delayed and our business could suffer.
Additionally, we rely on third-party providers for storing, packaging and delivering certain of our products, including a portion of the stockpile of IV TPOXX® purchased by government under the 19C BARDA Contract that we manage, thereby entrusting such vendor or vendors with the care and handling of a substantial portion of IV TPOXX® inventory. Relying on third parties for storage, packaging and delivery of our products exposes us to risks, including reduced control over timing for delivery and quality assurance. If these third parties experience delays, capacity constraints, quality control problems or other disruptions to their operations, including due to supply chain shortages, natural disasters, health emergencies, pandemics, epidemics, civil unrest, labor disputes, cyber events, trade disputes or other trade barriers, international conflicts or global hostilities, our ability to ship products to our customers could be impaired and we may fail to meet our requirements for timely delivery. Failure to meet our scheduled product deliveries to our customers could cause the loss of sales, delayed revenue recognition or an increase in our costs, which could adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
If third parties do not manufacture our drug candidates or products in sufficient quantities and at an acceptable cost or in compliance with regulatory or contractual requirements and specifications, the fulfillment of contractual requirements under the 19C BARDA Contract, or any other procurement contract, or the development of our drug candidates could be delayed, prevented or impaired.
If our contract manufacturers are unable to generate enough materials to meet commercial obligations or satisfy clinical needs, the success of drug products may be jeopardized. Our current and anticipated future dependence upon others for the manufacture of our drug candidates may adversely affect our ability to develop drug candidates and perform on commercial contracts on a timely and competitive basis. If our third-party manufacturers’ production processes malfunction or contaminate our drug supplies during manufacturing, we may incur significant inventory loss that may not be covered by our contractual provisions or insurance policies.
We currently rely on third parties to demonstrate regulatory compliance, for regulatory and science support and for quality assurance with respect to the drug candidates manufactured for us. We intend to continue to rely on these third parties for these purposes with respect to production of commercial supplies of drugs that we successfully develop. Manufacturers are subject to ongoing, periodic, unannounced inspection by the FDA and corresponding state and foreign agencies or their designees to ensure strict compliance with applicable laws and regulations.
We cannot be certain that our present or future manufacturers will be able to comply with these regulations and other FDA regulatory requirements or similar regulatory requirements outside the U.S. Our government contracts and grants call for compliance with all applicable legal and regulatory requirements, however, we do not control third-party manufacturers and their methods for ensuring adherence to regulatory and legal standards. If we or these third parties fail to comply with applicable regulations, sanctions could be imposed on us which could significantly delay and adversely affect supplies of our drug candidates.
Problems related to large-scale commercial manufacturing could cause an increase in costs or shortages of products or a delay in product launches.
Manufacturing API and finished drug products, especially in large quantities, is complex. Our products require several manufacturing steps at multiple facilities and involve complex techniques to assure quality and sufficient quantity. Our products must be made consistently and in compliance with a clearly defined manufacturing process. Accordingly, it is essential to be able to validate and control the manufacturing process to assure that it is reproducible. Slight deviations anywhere in the manufacturing process, including obtaining materials, filling, labeling, packaging, storage, shipping, quality control and testing, some of which all pharmaceutical companies, including us, experience from time to time, may result in lot failures, delay in the release of lots, product recalls or spoilage. Success rates can vary dramatically at different stages of the manufacturing process, which can lower yields and increase costs. We may experience deviations in the manufacturing process that may take significant time and resources to resolve and, if unresolved, may affect manufacturing output and/or cause us to fail to satisfy contractual commitments, lead to delays in our clinical trials or result in litigation or regulatory action. Such actions would hinder our ability to meet contractual obligations and could cause material adverse consequences for our business.
Risks Related to Product Development
Growth of our business may be impacted significantly by our success in completing development and commercialization of drug candidates, new formulations or additional indications for TPOXX®. If we are unable to commercialize new drug candidates, new formulations, or additional indications, or experience significant delays in doing so, our business may be materially harmed.
We have invested a substantial amount of our efforts and financial resources in the development of our drug candidates. Our ability to generate near-term cash flows is primarily dependent on the success of our smallpox antiviral drug TPOXX®, which has been approved by the FDA in oral and intravenous forms and by select international regulatory agencies in the oral form. The commercial success of our current and future drug candidates, new formulations or additional indications for TPOXX®, will depend on many factors, including:
| • | successful development, formulation and cGMP scale-up of drug manufacturing that meets FDA requirements; |
| • | successful development of animal models; |
| • | successful completion of non-clinical development, including studies in approved animal models; |
| • | our ability to pay the expense of filing, prosecuting, defending and enforcing patent claims and other intellectual property rights; |
| • | successful completion of clinical trials; |
| • | receipt of marketing approvals, including the impact of marketing restrictions or required post-approval clinical studies, from the FDA for liquid suspension/pediatric formulations of TPOXX® and similar foreign regulatory authorities; |
| • | establishing arrangements on reasonable terms with suppliers and contract manufacturers; |
| • | manufacturing stable commercial supplies of drug candidates, including availability of raw materials; |
| • | launching commercial sales of the product or new indication/formulation, whether alone or in collaboration with others; and |
| • | acceptance of the product or new indication/formulation by potential government customers, public health experts, physicians, patients, healthcare payers and others in the medical community. |
We may rely on FDA regulations known as the “Animal Rule” to obtain approval for most of our biodefense drug candidates. The Animal Rule permits the use of animal efficacy studies together with human clinical safety trials to support an application for marketing approval. These regulations are relied upon only occasionally. It is possible that results from these animal efficacy studies may not be predictive of the actual efficacy of our drug candidates in humans. If we are not successful in completing the development and commercialization of our drug candidates, whether due to our efforts or due to concerns raised by our governmental regulators or customers, our business could be materially adversely affected.
We may not be able to fully commercialize the liquid suspension/pediatric formulation of TPOXX®, or additional indications for TPOXX®, if our clinical trials do not demonstrate adequate safety or our animal studies do not demonstrate adequate efficacy.
Before obtaining regulatory approval for the sale of our drug candidates, extensive development is required. The development of a smallpox treatment candidate requires clinical trials to demonstrate safety and animal studies to demonstrate efficacy. Clinical trials and animal studies, and related work, are resource-intensive, difficult to design and implement, can take many years to complete and are uncertain as to outcome. Success in pre-clinical testing and early clinical trials does not ensure that later clinical trials or animal efficacy studies will be successful, and interim results of a clinical trial or animal efficacy study do not necessarily predict final results.
A failure of one or more of our clinical trials or animal efficacy studies can occur at any stage of development. We may experience numerous unforeseen events during, or as a result of, pre-clinical testing and the clinical trial or animal efficacy study process that could delay or prevent our ability to receive regulatory approval or commercialize our drug candidates, including:
| • | regulators or institutional review boards may not authorize us to commence a clinical trial or conduct a clinical trial at a prospective trial site; |
| • | we may decide, or regulators may require us, to conduct additional pre-clinical testing or clinical trials, or we may abandon projects that we expect to be promising, if our pre-clinical tests, clinical trials or animal efficacy studies produce negative or inconclusive results; |
| • | we might have to suspend or terminate our clinical trials if the participants are being exposed to unacceptable health risks; |
| • | regulators or institutional review boards may require that we hold, suspend or terminate clinical development for various reasons, including noncompliance with regulatory requirements; |
| • | the resources required to manage and oversee our clinical trials could escalate and become cost prohibitive; |
| • | our governmental regulators may impose requirements on clinical trials, pre-clinical trials or animal efficacy studies that we cannot meet or that may prohibit or limit our ability to perform or complete the necessary testing in order to obtain regulatory approval; |
| • | any regulatory approval we ultimately obtain may be limited or subject to restrictions or post-approval commitments that render the product not commercially viable; |
| • | we may not be successful in recruiting a sufficient number of qualifying subjects for our clinical trials; |
| • | the effects of our drug candidates may not be the desired effects or may include undesirable side effects or the drug candidates may have other unexpected characteristics; or |
| • | the required resources, regulations, or challenges associated with animal studies may increase and make our studies more difficult. |
Liquid Suspension/Pediatric TPOXX® formulations are currently in product development and there can be no assurance of successful development or ultimate commercialization.
The fact that the FDA has approved the oral and IV formulations of TPOXX® does not guarantee that our approach to drug development will be effective or will result in the successful commercialization of the liquid suspension/pediatric formulation of TPOXX®, any new indication such as post-exposure prophylaxis, of TPOXX® or any other drug we seek to develop. We cannot predict with certainty whether any other drug candidate or expanded indication resulting from our research and development efforts will be approved by the FDA.
All of our potential drug candidates are prone to the risks of failure inherent in pharmaceutical product development, including the possibility that our drug candidates will not or cannot:
| • | be shown to be safe, non-toxic and effective; |
| • | otherwise meet applicable regulatory standards; |
| • | receive the necessary regulatory approvals; |
| • | develop into commercially viable drugs; |
| • | be manufactured or produced economically and on a large scale; |
| • | be successfully marketed; |
| • | be paid for by governmental procurers or be reimbursed by governmental or private insurers; or |
| • | achieve customer acceptance. |
In addition, third parties may seek to preclude us from marketing our drugs through enforcement of their proprietary or intellectual property rights that we are not aware of, or third parties may succeed in marketing equivalent or superior drug products that do not infringe our intellectual property. Our failure to develop safe, commercially viable future drug candidates or obtain approval for expanded indications and formulations of TPOXX® could have a material adverse effect on our ability to grow our business, and impair our financial condition and operations.
Risks Related to Our Intellectual Property
Our ability to compete may decrease if we do not adequately protect our intellectual property rights.
Our commercial success will depend in part on our ability to obtain and maintain regulatory exclusivity, patent and other intellectual property protection for our proprietary technologies, drug targets and potential products and to preserve our trade secrets and trademark rights. Because of the substantial length of time and expense associated with bringing potential products through the development and regulatory clearance processes to reach the marketplace, the pharmaceutical industry places considerable importance on obtaining regulatory, patent and trade secret protection. The patent positions of pharmaceutical and biotechnology companies can be highly uncertain and involve complex legal and factual questions. No consistent policy regarding the breadth of claims allowed in biotechnology patents worldwide has emerged to date. Accordingly, we cannot definitively predict the type and breadth of claims allowed in patents covering our products.
SIGA exclusively owns its key patent portfolios, which relate to its leading drug product, TPOXX® (also known as ST-246, tecovirimat). As of February 20, 2026, the TPOXX® patent portfolio has seven patent families consisting of 26 U.S. utility patents, 101 issued foreign patents, one U.S. utility patent application, and 12 foreign patent applications.
We also rely on trade secrets, know-how, continuing technological innovation and licensing opportunities. In an effort to maintain the confidentiality and ownership of trade secrets and proprietary information, we require our employees, consultants and some collaborators to execute confidentiality and invention assignment agreements upon commencement of a relationship with us. These agreements may not provide meaningful protection for our trade secrets, confidential information or inventions in the event of unauthorized use or disclosure of such information, and adequate remedies may not exist in the event of such unauthorized use or disclosure.
If our technologies are alleged or found to infringe the patents or proprietary rights of others, we may be sued, we may have to pay damages or be barred from pursuing a technology, or we may have to license those rights from and pay royalties to others on unfavorable terms. If we are sued, even if we prevail, such litigation may be costly.
Our commercial success will depend significantly on our ability to operate without infringing the patents or proprietary rights of third parties. Our technologies, or the technologies of third parties on which we may depend, may infringe the patents or proprietary rights of others. If there is an adverse outcome in any dispute concerning rights to these technologies, then we could be subject to significant liability, required to license disputed rights from or to other parties and/or required to cease using a technology necessary to carry out our research, development and commercialization activities. We do not currently license any patent rights from third parties relative to TPOXX®.
If our patents are challenged and found to be invalid or unenforceable, the value of our products could be harmed, and we could be subject to competition earlier than we anticipated.
The costs to establish or defend against claims of infringement or interference with patents or other proprietary rights can be expensive, distracting and time-consuming, even if the outcome is favorable. An outcome of any patent or proprietary rights administrative proceeding or litigation that is unfavorable to us may cause us to incur significant costs, and have a material adverse effect on us. Additionally, we may not prevail in any such action and such litigation often takes years to resolve creating business uncertainty if we are not able to resolve it quickly.
Furthermore, like many biopharmaceutical companies, we may from time to time hire scientific personnel formerly employed by other companies involved in one or more areas similar to the activities conducted by us. It is possible that we and/or these individuals may be subject to allegations of trade secret misappropriation or other similar claims as a result of their prior affiliations.
Risks Related to Our Common Stock
Affiliates of MacAndrews & Forbes Incorporated (together with its affiliates “MacAndrews”) have substantial ownership of SIGA stock and their interests may differ from the interests of other stockholders.
MacAndrews holds, directly or indirectly, approximately 34% of outstanding shares of SIGA stock. Due to MacAndrews’ substantial ownership percentage and the rights under the securities purchase agreement (the "Securities Purchase Agreement") that was signed in 2003 between SIGA and an affiliate of MacAndrews, MacAndrews has a level of influence over us and our subsidiaries that other investors do not have.
The concentration of ownership and voting power of MacAndrews will limit other stockholders’ ability to influence corporate matters and may also delay, defer or even prevent an acquisition by a third party or other change of control of our company and may make some transactions more difficult or impossible without the support of MacAndrews. Also, the concentration of voting power with MacAndrews could result in actions by the Company with which other stockholders do not agree.
A future issuance of preferred stock may adversely affect the rights of the holders of our common stock.
Our certificate of incorporation allows our Board of Directors (the "Board") to issue up to 20,000,000 shares of preferred stock and to fix the voting powers, designations, preferences, rights and qualifications, limitations or restrictions of these shares without any further vote or action by the stockholders. The rights of the holders of common stock will be subject to, and could be adversely affected by, the rights of the holders of any preferred stock that we may issue in the future. The issuance of preferred stock could have the effect of making it more difficult for a third party to acquire a majority of our outstanding voting stock, thereby delaying, deferring or preventing a change of control.
General Risk Factors
Global infectious disease outbreaks, such as the COVID-19 pandemic, or climate-related matters could negatively impact the global economy on a broad scale and our business in particular.
The COVID-19 pandemic caused significant societal and economic disruption. The direct and indirect impacts of the pandemic were significant and broad-based, including supply chain disruptions and labor shortages that started during the pandemic and continue to represent business and financial risks. As such, the Company is continually coordinating with service providers and vendors, in particular third party contract manufacturing organizations that constitute our supply chain, with respect to risks and mitigating actions.
While the Company has not identified or been notified by government customers of impediments to the continued full performance of their government contracts, future global infectious disease outbreaks or climate-related matters could have material adverse impact on the financial condition of the Company and its long-term operating performance.
Future acquisitions, strategic investments, partnerships or alliances could be difficult to identify and integrate, divert the attention of management, disrupt our business, dilute stockholder value, materially change the risk profile of the Company and/or adversely affect our operating results and financial condition.
We may in the future seek to acquire or invest in businesses, products or technologies that we believe could complement or expand our services, enhance our technical capabilities or otherwise offer growth opportunities. The pursuit of potential acquisitions may divert the attention of management and cause us to incur various expenses in identifying, investigating and pursuing businesses. In addition, we may not be able to find and identify desirable acquisition targets or be successful in entering into an agreement with any particular target or consummating any such agreement. Even if we do consummate an acquisition, in connection therewith we may be required to issue equity (thereby diluting our current stockholders) or debt, we may not be able to integrate successfully the acquired personnel, operations and technologies, or effectively manage the combined business following the acquisition, or the acquired business could otherwise fail to meet our expectations, which, in each case, could have a material adverse effect on our business projections, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
The health security markets in which we compete and will compete are highly competitive.
The health security industry is characterized by rapid and significant technological change. Our success will depend on our ability to develop and apply our technologies in the design and development of our product candidates, to establish and maintain a market for our product candidates, and maintain and grow our market for TPOXX®. In addition, there are many companies, both public and private, including major pharmaceutical and chemical companies, specialized biotechnology firms, universities and other research institutions engaged in developing pharmaceutical, health security and biotechnology products. Many of these companies have substantially greater financial, technical, research and development resources, and human resources than us. Competitors may develop products or other technologies that are more effective than TPOXX® or than any products being developed by us, or may obtain FDA approval for products more rapidly than us. Following product approval and commercial launch, such as for TPOXX®, we still must compete in the manufacturing and marketing of such products, areas in which it is very difficult to succeed and in which we are partially dependent on third parties. Many potential competitors have manufacturing facilities and substantial marketing capabilities that may enable such companies to market competing products through existing channels of distribution which could provide a substantial advantage.
Product liability lawsuits could cause us to incur liabilities, which could be substantial, and require us to limit commercialization of any products that we may develop.
Like all pharmaceutical companies, we face an inherent business risk related to the sale of TPOXX® and any other products that we successfully develop and the testing of our product candidates in clinical trials. TPOXX® is currently identified as a covered countermeasure under the PREP Act declaration issued in October 2008, as amended, which provides us with substantial immunity with respect to the manufacture, administration or use of TPOXX®. Under the 19C BARDA Contract, the U.S. Government should indemnify us against claims by third parties for death, personal injury and other damages related to TPOXX®, including reasonable litigation and settlement costs, to the extent that the claim or loss results from specified risks not covered by insurance or caused by our grossly negligent or criminal behavior. There is no assurance that any future U.S. Government contracts will include a comparable indemnification provision. In addition, the collection process under the PREP Act can be lengthy and complicated, and there is no guarantee that we would be able to recover these indemnifiable amounts from the U.S. Government.
If we cannot successfully defend ourselves against future claims that our product or product candidates caused injuries and we are not entitled to or able to obtain indemnity by the U.S. Government with respect to such claims, or if the U.S. Government does not honor its indemnification obligations, we may incur liabilities, which could be substantial. Regardless of merit or eventual outcome, product liability claims may result in decreased demand for any product candidate or product that we may develop; withdrawal of a product from the market; costs and management time and focus to defend the related litigation; substantial monetary awards to trial participants or patients; loss of revenue; harm to our reputation; the inability to commercialize any products that we may develop. Additionally, a successful product liability claim or series of claims brought against us could cause our stock price to fall, could decrease our financial resources and materially exhaust our existing insurance or limit our ability to obtain insurance going forward, all of which would materially adversely affect our business and financial position.
We currently have product liability insurance with coverage we believe is adequate to protect against potential product liability claims. Product liability insurance is difficult to obtain and increasingly expensive. Should we face claims, we may not be able to maintain insurance coverage at a reasonable cost and we may not be able to maintain or obtain insurance coverage that will be adequate to satisfy any liability that may arise.
Our activities may involve hazardous materials, use of which may subject us to environmental regulatory liabilities.
Our biopharmaceutical research and development sometimes may involve the use of hazardous and radioactive materials and generation of biological waste. We are subject to federal, state and local laws and regulations governing the use, manufacture, storage, handling and disposal of these materials and certain waste products, and may have to incur significant costs to comply with current or future environmental laws and regulations. Although we believe that our CMOs’ safety procedures for handling and disposing of these materials comply with legally prescribed standards, the risk of accidental contamination or injury from these materials cannot be completely eliminated. In the event of an accident, we could be held liable for damages, and this liability could exceed our resources. We use through third parties, for example, small amounts of radioactive isotopes commonly used in pharmaceutical research, which are stored, used and disposed of in accordance with Nuclear Regulatory Commission regulations. Our general liability policy provides coverage up to annual aggregate limits of $2 million and coverage of $1 million per occurrence.
The loss of key personnel or our ability to recruit or retain qualified personnel could adversely affect our results of operations.
We rely upon the ability, expertise, judgment, discretion, integrity and good faith of our senior management team, including our Chief Executive Officer, Chief Scientific Officer, Chief Financial Officer, and other key employees. Our success is dependent upon our personnel and our ability to recruit, retain and train high quality employees. We must continue to recruit, retain and motivate management and other employees sufficient to maintain our current business and support our projected growth. The loss of services of any members of our key management team could have a material adverse effect on our business.
Our business and operations would suffer in the event of a significant computer system failure, cyber-attack or deficiency in our cyber-security.
Despite the implementation of security measures, our internal computer systems, and those of third parties on which we rely, we are vulnerable to damage from computer viruses, malware, natural disasters, terrorism, war, telecommunication and electrical failures, cyber-attacks or cyber-intrusions over the Internet, phishing attacks, persons inside our organization or persons with access to systems inside our organization. The risk of a security breach or disruption, particularly through cyber-attacks or cyber-intrusion, including by computer hackers, foreign governments and cyber terrorists, has generally increased as the number, intensity and sophistication of attempted attacks and intrusions from around the world have increased and been targeted at pharmaceutical companies in particular. In addition, the increasing use of artificial intelligence technologies, including by our employees and third-party service providers, may increase cybersecurity risks, including risks related to data exposure, misuse of confidential or sensitive information, and the growing sophistication of AI-enabled cyber-attacks. If such an event were to occur and cause interruptions in our operations, it could result in a material disruption of our drug development programs, manufacturing or quality systems, or other GxP-regulated activities. If such an event were to occur and cause interruptions in our operations, it could result in a material disruption of our drug development programs. For example, the loss, corruption, or unavailability of clinical trial data, manufacturing data, or quality records - whether maintained by us or by third parties such as CROs or CDMOs - could result in delays in regulatory approval efforts and significantly increase our costs to recover or reproduce the data.
Also, our processing of sensitive information may subject us to data privacy and security obligations, and confidential patient and other personal or sensitive information may be compromised in a cyber-attack or cyber-intrusion. In the United States, federal, state, and local governments have enacted numerous data privacy and security laws, including data breach notification laws, personal data privacy laws, consumer protection laws and other similar laws (e.g., wiretapping laws). For example, the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act of 1996 imposes specific requirements relating to the privacy, security and transmission of individually identifiable health information. If we or the third parties on which we rely fail, or are perceived to have failed, to address or comply with data privacy and security obligations, we could face significant consequences. These consequences may include, but are not limited to, government enforcement actions, litigation, additional reporting requirements and/or oversight, bans on processing personal data, orders to destroy or not use personal data and imprisonment of Company officials.
To the extent that any disruption or security breach was to result in a loss of or damage to our data or applications, or inappropriate disclosure of confidential or proprietary information, we could incur material legal claims and liability, damage to our reputation, and the further development of our drug candidates could be delayed.
We may need additional funding, which may not be available to us, and which may force us to delay, reduce or limit proposed acquisitions or strategic investments or any of our non-government funded product development programs or commercial efforts.
Although we believe our current cash position is strong, we may require additional financing and, while we have raised funds through credit facilities and the issuance of new equity or the exercise of options or warrants in the past, there is no guarantee that we will continue to be successful in raising such funds should we need to seek to do so. If we are unable to raise additional funds, we could be forced to discontinue, cease or limit certain strategic transactions or operations and equity investors could experience significant or total losses of their investments. Our cash flows may fall short of our projections or be delayed, or our expenses may increase, including as a result of inflation or interest rate increases, which could result in our capital being consumed significantly faster than anticipated. If we are able to obtain additional financing through the sale of equity or convertible debt securities, such sales may contain terms, such as liquidation and other preferences that are not favorable to us or our stockholders. If we raise additional funds through collaboration and licensing arrangements with third parties, it may be necessary to relinquish valuable rights to our technologies or product candidates or grant licenses on terms that may not be favorable to us. Debt financing arrangements, if available, may require us to pledge certain assets or enter into covenants that could restrict our business activities or our ability to incur further indebtedness and may be at interest rates and contain other terms that are not favorable to our stockholders.
The cash and cash equivalents that we use to meet our cash needs, including working capital and operating expenses, are held in deposit or investment accounts at four financial institutions. If one or multiple financial institutions fail, our deposit or investment accounts could be adversely affected due to the loss of or delay in obtaining access to all or a portion of our uninsured funds.
The cash and cash equivalents that we use to meet our cash needs, including working capital and operating expenses, are held in deposit or investment accounts at four financial institutions. The balance held in these accounts regularly exceeds the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation (“FDIC”), standard deposit insurance limit or similar government guarantee schemes, or in the case of investment accounts, is not insured. If one or multiple financial institutions in which we hold such funds fails or is subject to significant adverse conditions in the financial or credit markets, we could be subject to a risk of loss of all or a portion of such uninsured funds or be subject to a delay in accessing all or a portion of such uninsured funds. Any such loss or lack of access to these funds could adversely impact our short-term liquidity and ability to meet our operating expense obligations.
Item 1B. Unresolved Staff Comments
None.
Risk Management and Strategy
We collaborate with parties to assess the effectiveness of our cybersecurity prevention and response systems and processes. These include cybersecurity assessors, consultants, and other external cybersecurity experts to assist in the identification, verification, and validation of cybersecurity risks, as well as to support associated mitigation plans when necessary. We have developed a -party cybersecurity risk management process that applies a risk-based approach to due diligence and oversight of external entities, including vendors and service providers with access to Company systems or sensitive data.
Governance
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