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U.S. PCE Inflation Holds at 3.7% as Consumer Spending Rises and GDP Grows 1.5%

Quiver Data Analyst

U.S. inflation remained elevated in July while consumer spending continued to rise, according to new government data released Wednesday. The Federal Reserve's preferred PCE inflation gauge increased 0.2% from June and 3.7% from a year earlier, while core PCE rose 0.2% monthly and 3.3% annually. Personal income increased 0.4% and consumer spending rose 0.2% in July.

  • Headline PCE inflation was 3.7% year-over-year, slightly above the 3.6% estimate, while the monthly 0.2% increase matched expectations.
  • Core PCE inflation was 3.3% year-over-year and 0.2% month-over-month, both matching estimates.
  • Personal income increased 0.4%, above the 0.2% estimate, while personal spending rose 0.2% versus 0.1% expected.
  • Real consumer spending was essentially unchanged in July after increasing 0.4% in June.
  • Separately, BEA's second estimate showed real U.S. GDP grew at a 1.5% annualized rate in the second quarter, unchanged from the advance estimate.
  • Census Bureau data showed July durable-goods orders rose 1.1%, compared with a 0.5% estimate, while core capital-goods orders increased 0.2%.

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Editor’s Note: This is a developing story. This article may be updated as more details become available.

About the Author

Matthew Kerr is a data analyst at Quiver Quantitative, with a focus on single-stock research and government datasets. Prior to joining Quiver, Matthew was an analyst intern at BlackRock.

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