Kalshi has reported 45,900 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 3.95 and 3.97 on Nov 28, 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 100% chance for "3.95% to 3.97%", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 100% probability.
If the yield curve par rate for 10-year U.S. treasury notes is between 3.95-3.97 % on Nov 28, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 45,900 transactions since it was first opened on November 21, 2025. There are 0 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 0 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their December 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 115342)
- Nicolás Maduro out in November? (24h volume: 91104)
- Will the Fed cut rates 4 times? (24h volume: 62951)
- Will Republicans win the House in 2026? (24h volume: 49471)
- Will the yield of 10-year U.S. treasury notes be between 3.95 and 3.97 on Nov 28, 2025? (24h volume: 45900)
- Will Kash Patel leave the Trump Administration this year? (24h volume: 35741)
- Will Democratic win the House race for TN-7? (24h volume: 35280)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00? (24h volume: 34857)
- Will ANO win most seats in Czech Republic AND LLA wins most seats in Argentina AND PVV wins most seats in the Netherlands all win their elections? (24h volume: 27445)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 24564)
