Kalshi has reported 15,254 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.5% in November?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 44% chance for "Above 4.5%", which is down from yesterday, when the market implied a 45% probability.
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.5% in November 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 19,817 transactions since it was first opened on November 08, 2025. There are 19,704 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 3,350,474 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 406667)
- Will the President sign Executive Orders between Nov 9, 2025 and Nov 15, 2025? (24h volume: 228063)
- House passes bill to release Epstein files this year? (24h volume: 179688)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 167057)
- Will the Fed cut rates 2 times? (24h volume: 142779)
- Nicolás Maduro out in November? (24h volume: 123905)
- Who will be named in Epstein documents released in 2025? (24h volume: 120035)
- Will it be reported that at least one million Americans have received payments of at least $1000 directly attributable to tariff revenue? (24h volume: 83043)
- Will Mikie Sherrill win by 14 to 100 percentage points in New Jersey? (24h volume: 67833)
- Will Trump release any documents about Epstein's associates before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 41300)
