Kalshi has reported 5,093 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the maximum SP500 value reach 6999.99 by Jan 1, 2026?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 60% chance for "7,000 or above", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 60% probability.
If the value of the S&P 500 index value starting Mar 19, 2025 and ending on Jan 1, 2026 is above 6999.99, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 298,205 transactions since it was first opened on March 19, 2025. There are 50,688 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 4,815,579 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their December 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 150549)
- Wil Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in Maine? (24h volume: 85516)
- Donald Trump out this year? (24h volume: 68262)
- Will the Fed cut rates 4 times? (24h volume: 64616)
- Will Republicans win the House in 2026? (24h volume: 52686)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00? (24h volume: 51460)
- Will Democratic win the House race for TN-7? (24h volume: 31658)
- Who will win the next presidential election? (24h volume: 25153)
- Nicolás Maduro out this year? (24h volume: 24355)
- Will Trump next nominate Christopher Waller as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 19844)
