Kalshi has reported 113,280 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the federal government shut down for more than 30 days?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 85% chance for "More than 30 days", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 85% probability.
If the ongoing federal government shutdown (starting October 1) lasts for Above 30 days (through 10:00 AM ET October 31), then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 1,197,176 transactions since it was first opened on October 03, 2025. There are 369,089 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 12,309,829 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Will a representative of the Democratic party win the NYC Mayor race in 2025? (24h volume: 301765)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in New Jersey (24h volume: 283247)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their October 2025 meeting? (24h volume: 258868)
- Will the Department of Education be eliminated before Jan 1, 2026? (24h volume: 148167)
- What will Tesla, Inc. say during their next earnings call? (24h volume: 137352)
- Will the federal government shut down for more than 30 days? (24h volume: 113280)
- Will average **gas prices** be above $3.05? (24h volume: 97500)
- Will Curtis Sliwa drop out of the NYC Mayoral race? (24h volume: 79866)
- Will Democrats win VA Governor AND VA House of Delegates AND NJ Governor AND Mamdani wins NYC Mayor all win their elections? (24h volume: 74828)
- Will the Republican party win the governorship in Virginia (24h volume: 66541)
