Kalshi has reported 69,205 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will the U.S. impose tariffs on any sector from any country or countries in Nov 2025-Nov 2025?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.
The market currently is implying a 1% chance for "Before 2026", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 1% probability.
If the President of the United States has imposed any new (or increased) tariffs in Nov 1, 2025 to Dec 31, 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
In total, this market has seen a volume of 217,369 transactions since it was first opened on November 24, 2025. There are 96,738 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 687,075 contracts.
Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:
- Nicolás Maduro out this year? (24h volume: 454396)
- Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their January 2026 meeting? (24h volume: 185786)
- Will Trump next nominate Judy Shelton as Fed Chair? (24h volume: 157199)
- Will Any Company acquire TikTok in 2025? (24h volume: 119757)
- Who will win the next presidential election? (24h volume: 112547)
- Will the U.S. impose tariffs on any sector from any country or countries in Nov 2025-Nov 2025? (24h volume: 69205)
- Will Nicolás Maduro leave office before 2026-02-01T15:00:00.000Z? (24h volume: 51619)
- Who will IPO in 2025? (24h volume: 47048)
- Will Donald Trump attend Zohran Mamdani's swearing-in ceremony? (24h volume: 38230)
- Who will be the next CEO of X? (24h volume: 36864)
