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Markets bet on whether J.D. Vance will be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party

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Kalshi has reported 11,214 in volume over the last 24 hours on their market for “Will J.D. Vance be the nominee for the Presidency for the Republican party?”, making it one of the hottest markets on the platform today.

The market currently is implying a 50% chance for "J.D. Vance", which is neutral from yesterday, when the market implied a 50% probability.

If J.D. Vance wins and accepts the nomination for the Presidency for the Republican party, then the market resolves to Yes.

In total, this market has seen a volume of 788,968 transactions since it was first opened on November 06, 2024. There are 370,944 positions of open interest in this market, and the overall liquidity is sitting at 527,575,895 contracts.

Based on Quiver’s tracking, here are 10 of the finance and politics markets that have had the most volume on Kalshi over the last 24 hours:

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